| Odds via 22Bet | |
| Newcastle vs Chelsea | Sunday, May 11, 2025, 13:00 GMT+1 |
| Newcastle odds | 2.08 |
| Chelsea odds | 3.15 |
| Draw | 3.88 |
| Over\Under | Total 2.5: 1.51/2.43 |
| Betting Bonus | Up to 122 $/€ |
Newcastle’s 1-1 draw against Brighton last Sunday extended their unbeaten league run to five games. They were grateful for Alexander Isak’s stoppage-time penalty and Nick Pope’s saves to secure a point.
Earlier, Eddie Howe’s side convincingly defeated Ipswich 3-0 at home. In that match, Kieran Trippier’s well-placed set-piece deliveries and Bruno Guimarães’ penetrating passing demonstrated their dominance throughout the game.
This solid performance followed a tough 4-1 loss to Aston Villa, when Newcastle’s high defensive line was consistently exploited by opponents. Before that defeat, the squad delivered their best attacking display of the season. They achieved a 4-1 home success against Man United and a 5-0 win over Crystal Palace. In those matches, Newcastle dominated opponents’ build-up with intense pressing and quick vertical attacks.
Eddie Howe confirmed this week that Sven Botman is fit enough to start after two successive outings from the bench. This will give Newcastle their top-choice left-sided centre-back for the first time since February.
Joelinton (knee) and Jamaal Lascelles (ACL) remain sidelined. Lewis Hall is ineligible against his parent club, and Matt Targett is still a week away from contention.
Fabian Schär has trained individually but is expected to be passed fit. Callum Wilson and Joe Willock have both recovered from knocks and should be among the substitutes.
Newcastle predicted lineup vs Chelsea (4-3-3): Pope; Trippier, Schar, Burn, Livramento; Guimaraes, Tonali, Willock; Murphy, Isak, Gordon.
| Key Players to Watch | Antony Gordon |
| Team Strengths | Powerful pressing |
| Team Weaknesses | Declines in intensity |
| Key injuries and suspensions | Lewis Hall, Matt Targett, Jamaal Lascelles, Joelinton, Fabian Schar (doubtful), Kieran Trippier (doubtful) |
Chelsea’s resurgence gained attention on May 4 when they defeated title holders Liverpool 3-1 at Stamford Bridge. Cole Palmer ended an 18-game goal drought with a stoppage-time penalty, following Enzo Fernández’s masterful performance in midfield.
A week earlier, Chelsea secured a hard-fought 1-0 victory over Everton, thanks to Nicolas Jackson’s instinctive finish after a high-speed transition from defensive phase to attack.
The success against the Toffees was built on a dramatic 2-1 comeback against Fulham. Neto and academy product Tyrique George scored late goals to overturn a lacklustre first half.
Wesley Fofana remains on long-term rehab programmes. Enzo Maresca revealed on Thursday that teenage striker Marc Guiu is ready to play.
Chelsea predicted lineup vs Newcastle (4-2-3-1): Sanchez; Gusto, Chalobah, Colwill, Cucurella; Caicedo, Fernandez; Madueke, Palmer, Neto; Jackson.
| Key Players to Watch | Cole Palmer, Nicholas Jackson |
| Team Strengths | Attacking play against high-pressing teams |
| Team Weaknesses | Issues when facing low defensive blocks, and bad defensive performance in away matches |
| Key injuries and suspensions | Wesley Fofana, Christopher Nkunku, Mykhailo Mudryk |
Newcastle United defeated Chelsea 2-0 at St James’ Park to advance to the quarter-finals of the Carabao Cup on October 30. Maresca’s men, fielding a heavily rotated squad, struggled to create clear chances as Howe’s defence held firm throughout the match.
Just days earlier, Chelsea had secured a 2-1 success over Newcastle at Stamford Bridge. This win propelled the victors to fourth place in the league standings.
Alexander Isak’s ability to drift away from the left channel and make diagonal runs toward the penalty spot is crucial for Newcastle’s attacking strategies. He’s scored three goals in his four league games.
Cole Palmer’s tendency to move out of the right half-space and overload the midfield gives Chelsea a 3-2-5 formation, effectively trapping opponents in the centre. This positioning allows Palmer to have time to deliver passes to Jackson.
The key question is whether the guests can sustain a high level of intensity during the match and consistently overcome Newcastle’s intense pressing. This season, in away games, Maresca’s side have often struggled to maintain their pace of play and have been unsuccessful in their efforts to press and counter-press.
Even without Joelinton, the hosts can create significant problems for their rivals with their quick attacks. Chelsea’s defenders are often vulnerable in their defensive transitions.
Bet hereThis match will be crucial for both teams as they vie for a spot in the Champions League zone, and both will be highly motivated to win.
Newcastle have transformed St. James’ Park into a challenging venue. They’ve secured victories in their previous five Premier League home games with an overall score of 18-5.
In contrast, Chelsea managed just one win in their last ten away events, largely due to defensive issues. They had poorly organised transitions from attack to defence.
The home squad will probably exploit Chelsea’s weaknesses and come away with a victory. However, a safer betting option might be to choose that Newcastle will not lose. The visitors could still pose a threat by using timely passes behind the hosting defence to create problems for them.
Newcastle scored in 11 consecutive home league matches. Chelsea have found the net in five of their previous ten away games, conceding in all but one.
Both Howe and Maresca commit at least five players forward when in settled possession. This philosophy often leads to goals but rarely results in clean sheets.
Considering the spaces left open in their mid-block defences and the urgent need for three points in the Champions League race, we can expect more than two goals on Sunday.
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