| Odds via 22Bet | |
| Napoli vs Genoa | Sunday, May 11, 2025, 20:45 GMT+1 |
| Napoli odds | 1.28 |
| Genoa odds | 12 |
| Draw | 5.2 |
| Over\Under | Total 2.5: 2.01/1.8 |
| Betting Bonus | Up to 122 $/€ |
Napoli’s last month has been a master-class in controlled aggression. They edged Lecce 1-0 thanks to Raspadori’s goal on May 3. They also beat Torino 2-0, Monza 1-0 and Empoli 3-0 without conceding a goal.
Antonio Conte’s formation, which is nominally a 4-3-3, effectively functions as a lopsided 3-2-5 when in possession.
In this setup, Olivera moves inside to partner Rrahmani, while Di Lorenzo pushes forward. Scott McTominay tucks in from the left to create a box with Leonardo Spinazzola and Giacomo Raspadori. Matteo Politano and Giovanni Di Lorenzo occupy the right touchline. Lukaku serves as a fixed pivot, allowing Raspadori to freely roam between the lines.
Napoli approaches this weekend with a three-point lead over Inter Milan, aiming to secure their fourth Serie A title. However, injuries have impacted the squad.
Midfielder Stanislav Lobotka suffered a right ankle sprain against Lecce. Although imaging ruled out severe damage, his participation against Genoa remains uncertain. If unavailable, Billy Gilmour is expected to start in his place. Defensively, Alessandro Buongiorno is sidelined for the rest of the term due to a significant adductor issue.
Napoli predicted lineup vs Genoa (5-3-2): Meret; Di Lorenzo, Rrahmani, Marin, Olivera, Anguissa; Gilmour, Politano, McTominay; Spinazzola, Lukaku.
Genoa, by contrast, are winless in four, but their performances remain tactically brave. They led Milan for 75 minutes on Monday before fatigue saw them overrun late on, a frustration Vieira lamented post-match.
Prior to that, Genoa lost 1-0 at Como, suffered a 2-0 home defeat to Lazio, and drew 0-0 in Verona. The common issue was the team’s eagerness to press high, but struggled to maintain that pressure for the full 90 minutes.
Regarding tactics, Vieira’s game model, hailed by L’Ultimo Uomo for transplanting Premier League-style pressure into a traditionally deep-lying Serie A, relies on Frendrup’s and Masini`s ball-winning.
Genoa, comfortably mid-table, face several absences. Midfielder Morten Thorsby is suspended, while Ruslan Malinovskyi is recovering from surgery and will miss the match. Additionally, Maxwel Cornet, Caleb Ekuban, and Jean Onana are doubtful due to various injuries.
Genoa predicted lineup vs Napoli (3-4-2-1): Leali; Norton-Cuffy, De Winter, Vasquez; Martin, Frendrup, Masini, Thorsby; Messias, Pinamonti; Vitinha,
Bet hereNapoli have demonstrated consistent performance, securing successes in their last four matches, including a 1-0 win over Lecce and a 2-0 victory against Torino. Their attacking trio, led by Romelu Lukaku, has been effective in breaking down defences.
In their recent 1-2 loss to Milan, the guests struggled to maintain their defensive structure, especially after taking the lead. Milan’s Rafael Leão exposed Genoa’s backline, leading to two quick goals. This indicates potential issues in their ability to adapt to dynamic attacking threats.
Moreover, playing at the Stadio Diego Armando Maradona provides Napoli with a significant boost. Their home record is formidable, and the support from their local crowd often elevates their performance.
Genoa have recently shown a solid defensive structure, often focusing on pressing organisation rather than attacking efforts. In their previous five games, they’ve only conceded five goals. This strategy is particularly noticeable in their away events, where they take a cautious approach to secure points.
While the hosts boast a potent attack, their recent encounters suggest a shift towards controlled gameplay, especially against teams that sit deep defensively. In their last five meetings, Napoli have scored eight goals, averaging 1.6 per 90.
This shows a focus on maintaining possession and patiently breaking down defences, rather than engaging in high-scoring affairs.
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