Odds via 22bet | |
Milan vs Liverpool | September 17, 20:00 GMT+1 |
Milan odds | 3.8 |
Liverpool odds | 1.86 |
Draw | 3.94 |
Over\Under | Total 2,5: 1.58/2.37 |
After Stefano Pioli’s departure, Paulo Fonseca took over Milan’s managerial duties, and the start of the 2024/2025 Serie A campaign has been a real test for him. After four rounds, the Rossoneri grabbed only a single victory, drew twice, and lost against Parma 1-2.
They secured only one victory, drew twice (2-2 with Torino and 2-2 with Lazio), and suffered a 1-2 defeat against Parma.
Milan’s main issues have stemmed from their defensive errors, which have proven costly. These mistakes could be even more critical when facing a high-caliber opponent like Liverpool. However, playing at home will give the Rossoneri a much-needed boost of determination.
Christian Pulisic has been Milan’s standout performer so far. In four rounds, the winger scored two goals and provided two assists.
Recent Form | WDLDW |
Key Players to Watch | Rafael Leão, Tammy Abraham, Theo Hernandez |
Team Strengths | Fast full-backs, good control of the ball |
Team Weaknesses | Frailty in the defence, squandering chances |
Injuries and Suspensions | Ismael Bennacer, Daniel Calabria, Alessandro Florenzi, Malick Thiaw, Marco Sportiello, Alvaro Morata (questionable) |
Following Jurgen Klopp’s era, Arne Slot took charge at Liverpool and guided them to three consecutive Premier League victories. However, after the international break, the Reds suffered a surprising home defeat against Nottingham.
This can hardly be called a sharp decline in Liverpool’s form. If we look at the stats, the Reds had 0.89 in xG, 70% possession and five shots on target. More likely it was a temporary loss of concentration, something that is rare at Anfield.
No specific player can be singled out for the defeat. However, Ibrahima Konate had a
below-par match, allowing Callum Hudson-Odoi to score from a long range.
Slot has most of his players available for selection. The only doubtful absentee is Federico Chiesa, while Harvey Elliott is confirmed to miss out due to a fractured foot.
Recent Form | LWWWD |
Key Players to Watch | Mohamed Salah, Luis Diaz, Virgil Van Dijk |
Team Strengths | Ultimate pressing, lethal counterattacks |
Team Weaknesses | Failure to strengthen from the bench |
Injuries and Suspensions | Harvey Elliott, Federico Chiesa (questionable) |
Milan and Liverpool have produced some unforgettable encounters. Of course, the two Champions League finals hold a special place in their H2H history. In the 2004/05 season, Liverpool famously made a historic comeback from 0-3 down to win on penalties. Two years later, Milan exacted revenge, winning 2-1 in the final.
In the 2021/22 season, Milan and Liverpool were drawn in the same Champions League group, and the Reds narrowly won both meetings – a 3-2 victory at home and a 2-1 win away at San Siro.
Milan made several high-profile signings during the summer transfer window, including Youssouf Fofana, Tammy Abraham, and Álvaro Morata. However, their main threats will likely come from talismanic winger Rafael Leão and left-back Theo Hernández, whose overlapping runs create problems for any defense.
Liverpool started the season convincingly but lost shockingly against Nottingham in the previous round. However, under Arne Slot, Mohamed Salah and Luis Diaz have been instrumental and will certainly pose a danger to Milan’s defenders.
Under Paulo Fonseca, Milan have been deploying a 4-3-3 formation. They control the ball in the midfield and put pressure on the flanks. Fonseca is expected to stick to these tactics against Liverpool.
After Jurgen Klopp’s departure, Arne Slot introduced a 4-2-3-1 formation. In this system, Diogo Jota is the primary forward, while Salah and Diaz actively use the wings. High pressing is another noteworthy characteristic of Slot’s Liverpool.
In their last four Serie A matches, Milan have displayed a strong attacking performance but have struggled defensively. The Rossoneri have scored nine times and conceded five. However, the majority of these goals came against weaker opponents.
The Reds conceded only once in the first four rounds, which occurred in their shock defeat to Nottingham. Despite this, both teams boast attacking firepower, suggesting a high-scoring game could be on the cards.
Milan will be playing at San Siro and this factor will help them to score at least once against Liverpool. On the other hand, it looks unlikely Arne Slot’s men will be without chances. We suggest betting on both teams to score in the following encounter.
If we compare the current form of both teams, Liverpool appear to have the upper hand. However, the Reds need to work on efficiently converting their chances. Against Nottingham, they squandered a handful of chances, which eventually cost them the game.
Historically, Liverpool has had the better of Milan in their recent meetings, having won all three encounters in the past three years, including Champions League clashes and a friendly, scoring at least twice in each game.
At San Siro, Liverpool will likely have the initiative and aim to grab three points. We suggest picking the following selection: Liverpool to win the clash
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