AC Milan vs Lecce Preview, Prediction, Odds, Betting Tips 27.09.2024

• Date and Time: September 27, 19:45 GMT+1
• Venue: San Siro, Milan, Italy

AC Milan vs Lecce Preview

AC Milan

Following Milan’s 2-1 victory in the Derby della Madonnina (Milan won 2-1), the Rossoneri are tied with Inter in the Serie A standings with eight points. Despite the positive outcome, the team is still adapting to Fonseca’s tactical approach and style.

Against Inter, Paulo Fonseca deployed a 4-4-2 formation with Alvaro Morata and Tammy Abraham upfront, which immediately delivered results.

However, defensively, Milan continues to show vulnerabilities that could undermine their Serie A campaign. The team tends to concede dangerous opportunities to opponents, with goals allowed in nearly every match.

Christian Pulisic has been Milan’s star player so far. The American has scored in four consecutive matches at both the club and national levels and his performance will be crucial in the match against Lecce. 

In terms of squad adjustments due to injuries, Emerson Royal stepping in for the injured Davide Calabria is a significant change.

Lecce

Lecce typically employ a defensive system with infrequent attacking forays, mainly through passes aimed at striker Nikola Krstović. However, in the home match against Parma, the Giallorossi played more openly and despite initially taking a 2-0 lead, they were unable to secure the win, conceding two late goals to draw 2-2.

The result was a significant disappointment for head coach Luca Gotti, who attributed the late collapse to player fatigue and a lapse in concentration. The disappointment continued with a subsequent 0-2 defeat to Sassuolo in the Coppa Italia.

In the last match, Luca Gotti could not use Patrick Dorgu, which certainly affected the attacking potential of Lecce. The Dane was suspended, but his expected return in the upcoming fixture could provide a much-needed boost to Lecce’s attacking line-up.

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AC Milan vs Lecce Prediction

• Pick: Milan to Win (-1.5) Handicap
• Odds: 2.02 (22Bet)
• Score prediction: Milan 3-0 Lecce

Milan got a confidence boost in the Derby della Madonnina, having the upper hand in that game and converting their chances effectively. 

Lecce, on the other hand, are struggling and have not won a single match in September, while squandering a huge lead against Parma.

Lecce’s away stats also do not provide reasons for optimism for Lecce’s fans. They have had three defeats and a draw in the past four encounters, while their last victory on the road dates back to April.

The disparity in current form and overall squad quality between the two teams suggests that Milan could dominate the encounter. We suggest picking Milan to win with a handicap (-1.5).

AC Milan vs Lecce Prediction, Betting Tip

• Pick: Over 2.5 Goals
• Odds: 1.61 (22Bet)

Milan matches have been entertaining and exciting this season, with every game featuring at least three goals. The Rossoneri are decent in the offence but also struggle to keep a clean sheet against opponents.

Lecce prefer a defensive style, especially on the road. They will mostly sit back and try to capitalise on the minimal opportunities they will have. Moreover, they will find it difficult to thwart Milan’s regular attacks. 

Like Milan’s other games, we anticipate another goal-fest. Paulo Fonseca’s side are interesting to watch and always delight spectators with high-scoring performances. Our pick for Milan vs Lecce would be over 2.5 goals. 

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