| Odds via 22bet | |
| Milan vs Verona | February 15, 2025, 20:45 GMT+1 |
| Milan odds | 1.33 |
| Verona odds | 8.80 |
| Draw | 5.35 |
| Over\Under 2.5 | 1.81/2.32 |
Italian giants Milan will be chasing a third straight domestic win in a row this weekend. Milan claimed a hard-fought 2-0 win over Empoli last weekend, and they could move within one point of the top six with a third league win in four this weekend.
However, Milan suffered a 1-0 defeat against Feyenoord in the Champions League after a third-minute goal by Igor Paixão. Recently appointed manager Sergio Conceiçao experimented with a system with four attackers, which failed to yield any results.
Especially in the first half, their attacking line seemed powerless and although they created more chances after the break, they never came close to changing the score. Milan will have to play much better in the return next week at home if they want to proceed to the next round.
The Italian giants have been in excellent defensive form this season, allowing 21 goals from an open play xGA of 23.99. However, they have massively underperformed in the final third after scoring just 27 goals from an xG of 32.41.
Milan have strengthened considerably in the winter window, with Kyle Walker, Santiago Giménez, and Warren Bondo among the big-money arrivals. João Félix also signed on deadline day.
Álvaro Morata, Noah Okafor, Ismael Bennacer, and Davide Calabria have all departed the club. Fikayo Tomori is suspended this weekend, while Emerson Royal, Ruben Loftus-Cheek, and Pierre Kalulu have been ruled out due to injury. Alessandro Florenzi and Yacine Adli are out.
Milan predicted lineup vs Verona (4-2-3-1): Maignan; Walker, Pavlović, Thiaw, Hernández; Fofana, Reijnders; Leão, Félix, Jiménez; Abraham.
Verona will be looking for a return to form after suffering defeats in three of their last five league matches. That run of form leaves the Italian side just three points clear of the drop zone.
Verona have underperformed in terms of their xG this season, scoring just 23 goals from a metric of 29.51. Meanwhile, their defensive record is a major issue after allowing 51 goals from an open play xGA of 41.27.
Their defensive issues aren’t likely to be aided this weekend following the suspensions of Daniel Ghilardi and Ondrej Duda. Suat Serdar, Martin Frese, Koray Guenter, and Abdou Harroui are also out due to injury. The visitors signed Nicolas Valentini and Tobias Slotsager to aid their defensive issues on the final day of the winter window, and both could be handed starts on Saturday.
Verona predicted lineup vs Milan (3-4-1-2): Montipo; Daniliuc, Valentini, Coppola; Tchatchoua, Niasse, Lambourde, Kastanos; Suslov; Mosquera, Sarr.
Bet hereMilan look very challenging to oppose this weekend. The Italian side have won each of their last eight against Verona.
Meanwhile, Verona have failed to win an away match at the San Siro since the 1957-58 season, losing on 41 occasions from 65 visits.
Milan’s record against teams in the bottom six places of the standings is also a key trend to follow when making an Milan vs Verona prediction after winning eleven of their last 15 Serie A matches.
Over 2.5 goals looks to have a solid chance this weekend. Milan matches this season have had an average of 2.57 goals per game, and they have scored 1.58 goals per 90 at the San Siro. Meanwhile, Verona have seen an average of 3.29 goals per game this season, and they have kept clean sheets in just 17% of their matches on the road.
Youssouf Fofana has been an excellent chance creator for Milan this season. The midfielder has registered five goal involvements, which includes four assists. Fofana has accumulated an xA of 2.01 this season from an average of 0.75 key passes per 90. Therefore, he could be an interesting assist selection on Saturday.
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