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Midtjylland vs Fenerbahçe | January 30, 2025, 21:00 PM GMT+1 |
Midtjylland odds | 3.48 |
Fenerbahçe odds | 2.05 |
Draw | 3.58 |
Over\Under 2.5 | 1.51/2.44 |
Danish side Midtjylland will be fighting for important points on matchday eight in the Europa League, as a point will secure their passage through to the next round. Midtjylland have won once in their last four European matches, and they have scored just seven goals, which ranks among the lowest of the sides in the top 24 places.
The pressure in the final third will be on attackers Adam Buksa and Franculino, who have respective xGs of 4.8 and 4.0 this season. However, both are stuck on five goals apiece this term. Goals have been in short supply for the Danish side throughout the season, with the two forwards being the only players who have scored at least four goals.
The hosts will at least have a fully fit squad available for selection this week.
Midtjylland predicted lineup vs Fenerbahce: (4-3-3): Lössl; Kbabu, Diao, Sørensen, Bak Jensen; Castillo, Andersson, Sørensen; Osorio, Buksa, Chilufya.
Jose Mourinho’s Fenerbahçe will be fighting for their European futures on Thursday. The Turkish side sits 23rd, and pressure is mounting on the Portuguese coach as fans are becoming increasingly unsatisfied with his defensive approach to matches.
Fenerbahçe have suffered two defeats in seven Europa League outings this season, and they have conceded just nine goals. However, scoring goals has been a continued issue for the Turks. Fenerbahçe have scored an average of 2.6 goals per game, and they have kept clean sheets in 36% of their away matches.
However, discipline is a major issue, as they have conceded two penalties in eleven away matches in 2024-25. Mourinho will be without a couple of important players this week, with Jayden Osterwolde and Rodrigo Becao both ruled out due to cruciate ligament injuries.
Fenerbahçe predicted lineup vs Midtjylland (3-4-2-1): Egribayat; Djiku, Söyüncü, Akçiçek; Osayi-Samuel, Fred, Amrabat, Szymanski; Kahveci, Tadic; En-Nesyri.
Bet hereVery little separates these sides based on the xG metrics, and both have struggled in the final third throughout the Europa League campaign.
However, the trends could pinpoint the most likely winning angle when making a Midtjylland vs Fenerbahçe prediction. Fenerbahçe have won three of their last four matches against Danish sides, and have often saved their best performances for on the road in Europe.
The Turkish side have won three of their last six on their travels, while Midtjylland come into matchday eight after losing two of their last four at MCH Arena.
Scoring goals has been a continued issue for both of these sides in the Europa League this season. Midtjylland have scored just six goals from an xG of 9.88, while they have recorded an xG/Shots average of just 0.13. Meanwhile, the Turkish side have averaged just 2.44 goals per game, and has accumulated an xG of 1.68 in their away matches. Therefore, under 2.5 goals looks like an area of value.
Alternatively, Youssef En-Nesyri could be the main scoring angle. The Morrocan has an excellent scoring record in Europe, netting three in seven this season. The striker has scored a total of 16 goals across all competitions this season from an xG of 9.0 from 79 shots in 2024-25.
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