- Date and Time: Thursday, July 3, 2025, 03:00 GMT+1
- Venue: Levi’s Stadium, Santa Clara, United States
Odds via 22Bet | |
Mexico vs Honduras | Thursday, July 3, 2025, 03:00 GMT+1 |
Mexico odds | 1.27 |
Honduras odds | 11.5 |
Draw | 5.45 |
Over/Under | Total 2,5: 1.86/1.94 |
Betting Bonus | Up to 122 $/€ |
Mexico vs Honduras Preview and Team News
Mexico Team News
Despite a difficult first half, Mexico eventually overcame Saudi Arabia and took a 2-0 victory. Alexis Vega’s 49th-minute strike was crucial and Abdullah Madu’s own goal in the late stage of the game sealed the deal for the Mexicans.
It was a convincing performance from Javier Aguirre’s men, allowing only a single shot attempt near their goal. In turn, they’ve produced 1.11 xG and stood well defensively, justifying their status as favourites.
There are no injury or suspension worries for Mexico. We expect the same lineup against Honduras, with the only exception being Santiago Gimenez replacing Marcel Ruiz.
Mexico predicted lineup vs Honduras (4-3-3): Malagon; Araujo, Vasquez, Alvarado, Gallardo; Alvarez, Lira, Mora; Vega, Jimenez, Gimenez.
Honduras Team News
Honduras beat Panama after a dramatic 1-1 draw in the regular time. They looked inferior throughout the match, but Choco Lozano’s late goal moved the game to penalties, where Carlos Pineda ensured the triumph for his side.
If we take out the thrashing against Canada in the Gold Cup’s opening round, Honduras look solid. Despite being deemed underdogs in the quarter-finals, they performed well enough in the defence to set up a clash with Mexico.
Following Lozano’s equalizer, we expect the Santos Laguna forward to start from the first minute. As for injuries and disqualifications, Honduras have no concerns.
Honduras predicted lineup vs Mexico (4-2-3-1): Menjivar; Rosales, Martinez, Maldonado, Cristanto; Flores, Arriaga; Quioto, Alvarez, Lozano; Benguche.
Bet hereMexico vs Honduras Prediction
- Pick: Mexico (-1.5) Handicap
- Odds: 1.88 (22Bet)
- Correct score prediction: Mexico 2-0 Honduras
Mexico are one of the best teams in the Gold Cup. While they struggled in the first half with Saudi Arabia, they bounced back in the second and allowed only 0.02 xG.
To illustrate H2H stats, Mexico won six in the previous eight outings and lost only twice. This will be a major boost for Javier Aguirre’s men, who’ve only conceded two goals this tournament.
We think it will be a tense game, but the Mexicans should be able to get a decisive advantage and win convincingly. Thus, our first pick here would be Mexico to win with a (-1.5) handicap.
Mexico vs Honduras Prediction, Betting Tip
- Pick: Under 2.5 Goals
- Odds: 1.94 (22Bet)
Neither Mexico nor Honduras offer ultra-attacking football. Furthermore, at the semi-final stage, we don’t expect the teams to go recklessly on the offence and put everything at stake.
Mexico’s previous three games ended with fewer than three balls finding the back of the net. As for Honduras, on the past seven occasions, only two ended with three or more goals.
The credit should go to Mexico’s block, which, on the course of the tournament, never faced an xG of 1.0 or higher. Honduras will probably sit back in defence, focusing on counterattacks. A low-scoring affair is expected. Hence, our second prediction is under 2.5 goals.
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