Predictions

Metz vs Paris Saint-Germain Prediction: Ligue 1 Match on 19.05.2024

PSG will round off their 2023-24 season on Sunday when they make the trip to Metz. All the pressure on the final weekend will be on Metz, but they face an almost impossible task to finish outside of the relegation places.

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The main action in Ligue 1 on the final day of the season could come at the bottom of the standings, with the teams set to face the drop still to be determined. Metz come into this round with a mountain to climb. They currently sit 16th but are three points above the automatic drop zone, and three points from safety.

A relegation playoff looks to be their most likely outcome this weekend, as Metz don’t boast a goal difference advantage over 15th-place Le Havre, meaning that even a win may not be enough against PSG. Their chances appear even more unlikely considering that they need an eleven-goal swing in their favour. However, they look set to avoid automatic relegation, as they have a seven-goal advantage over Lorient, meaning that a narrow defeat could at least give them one final chance to assure their place in the competition next term.

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Their recent form would be a major concern ahead of a crucial month in the season, as they have suffered defeats in each of their last three matches. Meanwhile, only the two sides located below them in the standings have allowed more goals in Ligue 1 this term.

PSG will have little to play for this weekend, as they have already wrapped up the league title. They come into this round after winning just twice across their last five, and they were beaten by Toulouse in their final home match of the season. But, this will be the last game that Kylian Mbappe plays for the Parisians.

Metz vs PSG Head to Head

PSG have claimed victories in all 13 previous matches against Metz across all competitions. The Parisians have averaged 3.1 goals per game across those showdowns, with Metz averaging just 0.7. PSG were 3-1 victors in the reverse fixture this season.

Metz vs PSG Prediction

PSG’s dominant record in this fixture makes it increasingly difficult to see Metz getting anything from their final match of the season. Therefore, it could be worth siding with the visitors winning this clash by at least a two-goal margin.

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