| Odds via 22Bet | |
| Manchester United vs Manchester City | Sunday, April 6, 2025. 17:30 GMT+1 |
| Manchester United odds | 3.32 |
| Manchester City odds | 2.08 |
| Draw | 3.68 |
| Over\Under | Total 2.5: 1.65/2.25 |
| Betting Bonus | Up to 122 $/€ |
It’s been a largely forgettable first season in charge of Manchester United for Ruben Amorim, as the club are locked in the bottom half of the standings. A sign of their struggles was evident in the midweek defeat at Nottingham Forest.
They reached a staggering 23 shots, but could only hit the target on six occasions. Despite an improved performance, United couldn’t register a goal, accumulating an xG of 1.87.
It’s been a continued issue throughout the season.They have accumulated just 24 goals from an xG of 36.11. Defnsively, there’s been improvement under Amorim. Manchester United have only conceded 25 balls from an open play metric of 35.38.
Manchester United predicted lineup vs Manchester City (3-4-2-1): Onana; de Ligt, Maguire, Yoro; Dalot, Ugarte, Fernandes, Dorgu; Mount, Eriksen; Højlund.
| Key Players to Watch | Bruno Fernandes |
| Team Strengths | Have been more defensively robust from set-pieces since Amorim’s arrival |
| Team Weaknesses | Lack of clinical edge in the final third, can be open in transitions |
| Injuries and Suspensions | Luke Shaw (Calf), Ayden Heaven (Ankle), Kobbie Mainoo (Muscle), Amad Diallo (Ankle), Lisandro Martinez (Knee) |
Pep Guardiola’s primary aim between now and the end of the PL season is to ensure the squad qualifies for the Champions League. It’s been a miserable defence of their title for the four-time reigning champions. Rodri’s injury could be to blame for their poor form.
Despite missing the important midfielder, Manchester City have still outperformed their defensive metric of 34.83 after conceding 32 balls from open play. Furthermore, they’ve only allowed just four goals from corners from an xGA of 6.59.
A notable concern this Sunday could come in the final third, as the champions will be without Erling Haaland. The striker, who’s netted 21 times this season, has been ruled out for the next seven weeks.
Manchester City predicted lineup vs Manchester United (4-3-3): Ederson; Lewis, Khusanov, Dias, Gvardiol; Silva, Kovacic, De Bruyne; Foden, Marmoush, Grealish.
| Key Players to Watch | Kevin De Bruyne |
| Team Strengths | Regaining their confidence in the final third of the field |
| Team Weaknesses | Defensively vulnerable when the ball is turned over |
| Injuries and Suspensions | Erling Haaland (Ankle), Rodri (Knee), Nathan Ake (Ankle), John Stones (Knock), Manuel Akanji (Groin) |
The head-to-head record makes for important reading before making a Manchester United vs Manchester City prediction. The hosts landed a deserved 2-1 success in the reverse fixture at the Etihad Stadium earlier this season.
However, United have won just once in their last four home derby matches against the visitors. This exact meeting last season ended in a dominant 3-0 win for the champions.
Bruno Fernandes will be the most important player on the field at Old Trafford. If Man City can stop the midfielder, they’ll remove any threat the hosts pose in the final third.
Fernandes has scored five goals in his previous four appearances across all competitions, and netted eight from an xG of 9.07 in the Premier League this term.
The Portuguese star is also Man United’s leading creator, accumulating nine assists from an average of 2.62 key passes per 90.
This weekend’s clash is likely to follow a similar pattern to the previous meeting between the clubs. The hosts will look to play on the counter-attack, allowing City to dominate the ball at Old Trafford.
United’s counter-attacking style worked well in the earlier encounter this season after converting two of their three shots on target. However, they’ll need to be more clinical than they’ve been in home matches so far after converting just 12% of their chances.
Manchester City have had an average share of 60% of the ball in their away games this term, and have only failed to score in 13% of their league fixtures on the road.
Bet hereIt would be a concern that Manchester United have kept clean sheets in just 21% of fixtures this season. However, there was plenty to like about their performance in midweek.
Amorim’s tactical influence is slowly showing signs of improvement at the Theatre of Dreams. So far, it’s worked best against the bigger teams in the Premier League.
United have been more reliable defensively in recent weeks, and the returns of Yoro and Maguire will enhance their options in the back three. Meanwhile, the absence of Haaland will ensure that City won’t have a focal point to play off. It could be a frustrating visit to their local rivals on Sunday.
Manchester United rank as one of the most ill-disciplined sides in the Premier League after averaging 2.20 cards per 90 so far this season. They’ve had over 4.5 cards in 43% of their encounters.
Based on their game plan this weekend, Amorim will encourage his team to break up Manchester City attacks so his defensive line isn’t vulnerable. Professional fouls could see the home squad pick up a few yellows.
It could also be argued that players like Manuel Ugarte and Casemiro could be standout options to pick up cards in Sunday’s Manchester derby.
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