Qualifying for the 2027 Africa Cup of Nations continues in Group L on Tuesday. Madagascar and Tanzania are BOTH bidding to bounce back from opening defeats in a fixture that will take place in Morocco at the Stade d'Honneur.

Madagascar to opt for continuity after narrow defeat

Corentin Martins watched his Madagascar side take a surprise lead against Nigeria last time out through Ehsan Kari. The Super Eagles fought back to win 2-1, but it was still a solid display from the island nation and major changes are not expected in Meknes.

With no fresh injuries, Hakim Abdallah is likely to continue up front, while Ryan Ponti should offer support from out wide. Captain Rayan Raveloson, who scored five times in 10 appearances during 2026 World Cup qualifying, is also a key figure.

Kari will probably form a central defensive partnership with Sandro Trémoulet once more, with Martins favouring a 4-2-3-1 system.

Madagascar predicted lineup vs Tanzania (4-2-3-1): Dupire; Acapandié, Kari, Trémoulet, Morgan; Ilaimaharitra, Couturier; Raheriniaina, Raveloson, Ponti; Abdallah.

Light changes expected as Tanzania build for 2027

Tanzania’s AFCON qualifying campaign started with a 2-0 home defeat against Guinea-Bissau. That was a disappointing result, but the Taifa Stars are already guaranteed a place at next year’s tournament, which they will co-host.

Given that, Miguel Ángel Gamondi has more freedom to experiment with different players and systems than most of the other coaches in Africa. He may make alterations in attack here, with Tarryn Allarakhia pushing for a starting role. Alphonce Msanga is also in strong contention for an opportunity in midfield.

Novatus Miroshi, who has scored once in four Turkish Süper Lig appearances this season for Göztepe, also stands a good chance of starting in the centre of the pitch.

Tanzania predicted lineup vs Madagascar (4-3-3): Foba; Mnoga, Mwamnyeto, Hamad, Hussein; Miroshi, Msanga, Salum; Allarakhia, Msuva, Kibu.

Madagascar vs Tanzania Prediction

  • Safe Tip: Madagascar to win or draw
  • Odds: 1.363 (22Bet)
  • Correct score prediction: Madagascar 2-1 Tanzania
  • 22Bet Booking Code: Y3DN6

Key stats:

  • Tanzania have only won one of their past 12 matches.
  • Madagascar have avoided defeat in two of their past three meetings with this opposition.
  • It’s five victories in nine international outings for Barea heading into this clash.

Backing Madagascar to win or draw is a safe pick at odds of 1.363. They will be the more motivated outfit, given their participation in next year’s Africa Cup of Nations could hinge on a positive result.

For Tanzania, these AFCON qualifiers are effectively friendlies, but their current form is worrying. They’ve lost seven of their previous 10 fixtures. The only victory for Gamondi’s team during that period came against Macau, the world’s 193rd-ranked side.

Madagascar vs Tanzania Prediction, Value Tip

  • Value Tip: Over 2 goals
  • Odds: 1.86 (22Bet)
  • 22Bet Booking Code: NREN6

With neither team benefiting from home advantage, both coaches will be chasing the victory. That will help create an open contest.

All of the previous 10 Madagascar fixtures have ended with two or more goals. There have been 14 goals across the four Barea games so far in 2026. Given that, backing over 2 goals at odds of 1.86 offers value.

Verdict: Madagascar to win or draw (1.36) — Madagascar 2-1 Tanzania