| Odds via 22bet | |
| Liverpool vs Southampton | 08/03/25, 16:00 GMT+1 |
| Liverpool odds | 1.09 |
| Southampton odds | 20.00 |
| Draw | 10.50 |
| Over/Under | Total 2,5: 1.19/4.30 |
| Betting Bonus | Up to 122 $/€ |
Arne Slot’s Liverpool continue their quest for the Premier League title on Saturday when they host Southampton. Liverpool’s excellent form sees them sit 13 points clear at the top of the standings, and they come into this round after winning three of their last four matches.
Liverpool have narrowly underperformed in terms of their xG metric, having scored 55 goals from a stat of 55.78. Meanwhile, they have also underperformed in terms of defensive stats from open play after allowing 20 goals from an xGA of 19.18. But, that isn’t likely to be a major issue against a goal-shy Southampton on Saturday.
| Date | Competition | Home Team | Score | Away Team | Outcome |
| 05/03/2025 | UEFA Champions League | Paris Saint-Germain | 0-1 | Liverpool FC | Win |
| 26/02/2025 | Premier League | Liverpool FC | 2-0 | Newcastle United | Win |
| 23/02/2025 | Premier League | Manchester City | 0-2 | Liverpool FC | Win |
| 19/02/2025 | Premier League | Aston Villa | 2-2 | Liverpool FC | Draw |
| 16/02/2025 | Premier League | Liverpool FC | 2-1 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | Win |
| 12/02/2025 | Premier League | Everton FC | 2-2 | Liverpool FC | Draw |
In a dramatic Champions League encounter at the Parc des Princes, Liverpool secured a 1-0 victory over PSG. Despite PSG’s dominance, registering 27 shots and 70% possession, Liverpool’s goalkeeper Alisson delivered an extraordinary performance, making nine crucial saves to keep a clean sheet.
The decisive moment came in the 87th minute when substitutes Darwin Núñez and Harvey Elliott combined; Núñez’s aerial duel set up Elliott, who scored with his first touch just 47 seconds after entering the pitch.
Liverpool manager Arne Slot praised Alisson as the best goalkeeper in the world and acknowledged the team’s fortune in securing the win. PSG coach Luis Enrique expressed frustration over the result, deeming it unfair given their control of the match.
Slot will only have two injury issues for this weekend, with Joe Gomez and Conor Bradley remaining out. However, he could opt to rest Mohamed Salah ahead of a crucial Champions League second leg against PSG.
Liverpool predicted lineup vs Southampton (4-2-3-1): Alisson; Alexander-Arnold, Konate, van Dijk, Robertson; Jones, Gravenberch; Diaz, Mac Allister, Jota; Núñez.
Southampton’s relegation back to the Championship looks hard to overlook at this stage of the season. They come into this round sitting bottom of the standings, boasting the worst attacking and defensive records after 27 matches.
An indicator of Southampton’s struggles this season is the fact that they have conceded an xGA of 58.45 this season and have allowed 48 goals.
| Date | Competition | Home Team | Score | Away Team | Outcome |
| 25/02/2025 | Premier League | Chelsea FC | 4-0 | Southampton FC | Loss |
| 22/02/2025 | Premier League | Southampton FC | 0-4 | Brighton & Hove Albion | Loss |
| 15/02/2025 | Premier League | Southampton FC | 1-3 | AFC Bournemouth | Loss |
| 01/02/2025 | Premier League | Ipswich Town | 1-2 | Southampton FC | Win |
| 25/01/2025 | Premier League | Southampton FC | 1-3 | Newcastle United | Loss |
| 19/01/2025 | Premier League | Nottingham Forest | 3-2 | Southampton FC | Loss |
The club are also underperforming in defensive metrics for goals against from corners and set pieces. In the final third, Southampton have also been incredibly short, netting just 14 times from an open play xG of 22.58.
The visitors have a lengthy injury list to contend with this weekend. James Bree, Jan Bednarek, Ryan Fraser, and Adam Lallana are all abouts. Kyle Walker-Peters, Ross Stewart, and Juan Larios are also all unlikely to feature.
Southampton predicted lineup vs Liverpool (5-4-1): Ramsdale; Sugawara, Harwood-Bellis, Bella-Kotchap, Aribo, Manning; Fernandes, Downes, Smallbone, Sulemana; Onuachu.
Bet hereThe home win is the most logical Liverpool vs Southampton prediction this weekend. Arne Slot’s side have suffered just one defeat in 28 outings this season, and Southampton’s reversion to a back five sparked limited reward in their latest outing when losing 4-0 at Chelsea.
Liverpool also come into this weekend after winning eleven of their last 13 against Southampton, and they have also won each of the last six meetings between the sides at Anfield by an aggregate score of 19-1.
Despite being the dominant force in the Premier League this season, Liverpool only rank fourth in terms of corners won per 90.
The hosts have averaged 6.32 corners per 90, and they have had over 10.5 corners in just 57% of their fixtures. Southampton’s average of corners per 90 is 4.36. Liverpool could opt to take their foot off the gas once the job is done this weekend ahead of a European showdown with PSG, meaning that under 11.5 corners make an appeal at 1.80.
However, the fact Southampton have conceded eleven goals from corners could ensure that set pieces could be a route to goal for Liverpool. Ibrahima Konate has been a menacing threat from corners throughout the season, scoring once and averaging 0.80 shots per 90. His presence could make him one of the more eye-catching scoring selections on Saturday.
| Position | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals For | Goals Against | Goal Difference | Points |
| 1 | Liverpool | 28 | 20 | 7 | 1 | 66 | 24 | +42 | 67 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 27 | 15 | 9 | 3 | 51 | 23 | +28 | 54 |
| 3 | Nottingham Forest | 27 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 44 | 33 | +11 | 48 |
| 4 | Manchester City | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 53 | 37 | +16 | 47 |
| 5 | Chelsea | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 52 | 36 | +16 | 46 |
| 6 | Newcastle United | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 46 | 38 | +8 | 44 |
| 7 | AFC Bournemouth | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 45 | 32 | +13 | 43 |
| 8 | Brighton & Hove Albion | 27 | 11 | 10 | 6 | 44 | 39 | +5 | 43 |
| 9 | Fulham | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 40 | 36 | +4 | 42 |
| 10 | Aston Villa | 28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 40 | 45 | -5 | 42 |
| 11 | Brentford | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 48 | 43 | +5 | 38 |
| 12 | Crystal Palace | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 35 | 33 | +2 | 36 |
| 13 | Tottenham Hotspur | 27 | 10 | 3 | 14 | 53 | 39 | +14 | 33 |
| 14 | Manchester United | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 33 |
| 15 | West Ham United | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 32 | 47 | -15 | 33 |
| 16 | Everton | 27 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 32 |
| 17 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 27 | 6 | 4 | 17 | 37 | 56 | -19 | 22 |
| 18 | Ipswich Town | 27 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 26 | 57 | -31 | 17 |
| 19 | Leicester City | 27 | 4 | 5 | 18 | 25 | 61 | -36 | 17 |
| 20 | Southampton | 27 | 2 | 3 | 22 | 19 | 65 | -46 | 9 |
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