Bruno Genesio will see his Lille side play host to Rennes this Sunday. It has been a respectable start to the season for the home side, and a win this weekend could see them end the round in third place. Lille have avoided defeat in their last five, but have played out draws in each of their last two.
The French side have scored 15 times from open play this season, despite registering a staggering 105 attempts. At present, they are operating below their xG of 16.17. However, they have an xGA of 14.26, meaning that defensively, they are outperforming the stat after conceding just nine goals from open play.
Defensive midfielders Angel Gomes and Benjamin Andre are hugely important for the home side, as they are responsible for breaking up play and getting the ball to the players in the final third of the field.
The home side will be without some key stars this weekend, with Andre Gomes, Thomas Meunier, and Ousmane Toure all sidelined. Ngal’ayel Makau will serve his one-game suspension.
There will be pressure on Jorge Sampaoli and his Rennes side this weekend, as a change in fortunes is required if they are to close the gap on the European positions. They come into this round after winning just three times this season, and they have suffered defeats in each of their last two.
Scoring goals and creating high-quality chances from open play have been big issues for Rennes this season. They have mustered an xG of 11.07, netting just eight goals.
Meanwhile, they are also underperforming in terms of xGA, having clocked up a stat of 11.80 and conceding 12 times from open play.
Their chances this weekend could be impacted based on the absence of Adrien Truffert, as the defender will serve his one-game suspension. But, emphasis will be on their counter-attacking style, as they will bid to soak up pressure before throwing counter-punches at Lille.
Bet hereLille will be without a number of important players this weekend, but their strategical gameplan isn’t likely to be impacted too much.
The hosts have been difficult to break down throughout the season, and it is hard to see Rennes gaining too much success based on their poor xG ratings from open play.
The historical head-to-head record also makes for key reading before making a Lille vs Rennes prediction, as the hosts have avoided defeat in each of the last ten Ligue 1 meetings between the sides.
Jonathan David has been the standout player for Lille in the final third this season. The Canadian international has netted seven in eleven, and has out-performed his 6.26 xG. David averaged 3.11 shots per 90 minutes, and is averaging a goal every 72 minutes.
With his record of 97 goals in 202 appearances for Lille, David has attracted the attention of several top clubs like Bayern Munich and Juventus. However, David has indicated that his dream destination is Barcelona, making them the favourites when he can negotiate with other clubs in January 2025.
Additionally, Edon Zhegrova could be an interesting angle for an assist bet. The attacking midfielder has recorded four goal involvements in nine appearances and makes an average of 1.49 key passes per match. At present, he has an xA of 2.26, which is considerably the best for the home side.
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