Lille host Paris Saint-Germain at the Decathlon Arena Stade Pierre-Mauroy on 28 August, both sides chasing an early statement after the champions dropped points on the opening weekend.
Lille Sit Top of the Early Table Without Their €100m Midfielder
Davide Ancelotti won his first competitive match in charge 2-0 at Angers, with Olivier Giroud striking after 11 minutes and Tiago Santos adding the second before the half hour. Berke Ozer kept a clean sheet.
Ayyoub Bouaddi has gone to Manchester City in a deal worth up to €100m, signed off this week, stripping Lille of their best young midfielder. Hamza Igamane remains out after knee surgery in January. Giroud, France's record scorer with 57 goals, leads the line, and Ethan Mbappe scored the late equaliser against PSG at this ground last October.
Lille predicted lineup vs PSG (4-2-3-1): Ozer; Perraud, Alexsandro, Ngoy, Tiago Santos; Bentaleb, Andre; Onal, Haraldsson, E. Mbappe; Giroud.
PSG Arrive With One Point After Their First Game and No Nuno Mendes
Nuno Mendes serves the second match of a three-game ban after his red card against Lens, so Lucas Digne takes the left-back slot. Bradley Barcola and Ibrahim Mbaye are out of the squad.
Paris Saint-Germain trailed 0-2 at Rennes before Ferran Torres, on debut from the bench, scored twice in 11 minutes to rescue a point. Ousmane Dembele scored twice the last time these sides met and returned 10 goals and seven assists in 22 Ligue 1 games last season. Luis Enrique's team have conceded in each of their last three.
PSG predicted lineup vs Lille (4-3-3): Chevalier; Digne, Pacho, Marquinhos, Hakimi; Vitinha, Neves, Zaire-Emery; Kvaratskhelia, Ferran Torres, Dembele.
Lille vs Paris Saint-Germain Prediction
- Safe Tip: Over 2 goals
- Odds: 1.32
- Correct score prediction: Lille 1-2 PSG
- 22Bet Booking Code: 77YEE
Key stats:
- The last five league meetings averaged 3.2 goals per game.
- Paris Saint-Germain have conceded in each of their last three matches.
- These two produce goals. The last five league meetings averaged 3.6 goals, and four of those five brought at least three, so this is an established pattern. Three or more goals wins the bet and exactly two returns the stake.
These two produce goals. The last five league meetings averaged 3.2 apiece, and both sides scored in each of the last eight, so this is an established pattern. Three or more goals wins the bet and exactly two returns the stake.
Current form backs it. PSG have shipped goals in every match this month, including twice inside 38 minutes at Rennes, while Lille scored twice at Angers. Mendes is suspended, and Digne comes into a rebuilt left side, weakening the champions where Lille attack most. See our Ligue 1 predictions for the rest of the round.
Lille vs Paris Saint-Germain Prediction, Value Tip
- Value Tip: Over 2.5 goals
- Odds: 1.73
- 22Bet Booking Code: 328EE
At 1.73, the market gives this only a 58% chance, anchored to January's 3-0 to Paris Saint-Germain. That night still cleared the line. Four of the last five league meetings went over 2.5, the exception being last October's 1-1 in Lille.
The underrated factor is PSG's defence right now. They have conceded in three straight, lost 1-0 to Lens in the Trophee des Champions, and start without Mendes for a third game. Lille sit third after matchday one and score at home, where the last meeting finished 1-1 in front of 47,355. A 3-0 repeat asks more of this back line than the price suggests. Compare the totals in our football betting guides.
Verdict: Over 2 goals (1.32) — Lille 1-2 PSG.
