Leganés vs Valencia Preview, Prediction, Odds, Betting Tips 04.10.2024

• Date and Time: October 4, 20:00 GMT+1
• Venue: Estadio Municipal de Butarque, Leganés, Spain

Leganés vs Valencia Preview

Leganés

Leganes’ poor start to the season continues. Los Pepinero’s are on a six-match winless streak and sit 16th in the table, just two points above the relegation zone.

Similar to other seasons, Leganes’ main goal will be to secure survival in the top flight. While scoring in two consecutive meetings, they have considerable issues in the defence. Additionally, Leganés has struggled in attack, failing to create clear-cut chances, which is reflected in their low xG (expected goals) numbers.

Juan Cruz is the bright spot in the squad. The Spanish attacking midfielder has three goals, leading the way for his team. However, the rest of the squad has struggled to match his impact, with his teammates often failing to capitalize on his contributions.

Valencia

Valencia’s poor form shows no signs of improvement, as they suffered a heavy 3-0 defeat against Real Sociedad in the last round. Although the victory against Girona sparked a glimmer of hope, it was quickly extinguished, leaving Los Ches in the relegation zone with just five points from eight matches.

The defence is Valencia’s weakest point. Rubén Baraja’s team leaves too many free spaces in the back, often conceding simple errors, and allowing the opponents numerous chances in the penalty area. Despite Giorgi Mamaradashvil’s crucial saves, Valencia already conceded 13 goals. 

While Valencia has promising young forwards in attack, they lack creativity. Their offensive play has become predictable, with repetitive patterns and a lack of variety in its approach.

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Leganés vs Valencia Prediction

• Pick: Valencia or Draw
• Odds: 1.46 (22Bet)
• Score prediction: Leganés 0-0 Valencia

Both teams are in bad form. Although Valencia were beaten in the previous round, they have slightly better players compared to Leganes and it makes sense to expect that Los Ches will have the upper hand.

Looking at their head-to-head history since 2016, the teams have faced each other 10 times.  Valencia won six, drew three and lost only one.  

We anticipate  closed and focused play from both teams. However, Valencia will likely be the ones who will play for a win, albeit a victory is not guaranteed. Our pick in this match would be Valencia or draw. 

Leganés vs Valencia Prediction, Betting Tip

• Pick: Under 2.5 Goals
• Odds: 1.39 (22Bet)

The previous five H2H fixtures all ended with less than three goals scored. In general, neither of the sides can be distinguished with a prolific performance in the attack. It makes us believe that will see a dull game with minimal chances.

Moreover, both teams scored five goals each in eight encounters, which is 0.62 goals per game. However, Leganes also don’t concede more than two goals even when playing against top-tier clubs.

Given these stats, we think that this game won’t be a goal-fest. Both sides will be motivated to keep a clean sheet and go to the attack with a small force. Our second pick for this fixture is under 2.5 goals.

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