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Lazio vs Monza | February 9, 2025. 15:00 GMT+1 |
Lazio odds | 1.34 |
Monza odds | 9.20 |
Draw | 5.10 |
Over\Under 2.5 | 1.78/2.01 |
Marco Baroni’s Lazio moved into the Champions League spots with a fine 2-1 win at Cagliari last Monday. However, it would be a concern that they have failed to win their last four home matches after previously winning five on the bounce. But, their two wins in three is a big bonus after previously winning just twice in seven.
Baroni has injury doubts this weekend, with Elseid Hysaj missing due to a hamstring injury. Manuel Lazzari and Filipe Bordon also aren’t expected back until the end of the month. Matias Vecino and Danilo Cataldi are longer term issues with thigh issues.
It has been a relatively quiet month on the transfer front, but Reda Belahyane and Oliver Provstgaard could both be named on the bench. Arijon Ibrahimovic has been brought in for cover in the number nine position. Jean-Daniel Akpa-Akpro and Gaetano Castrovilli have both been allowed to leave for Monza on loan.
Lazio predicted lineup vs Monza (4-2-3-1): Provedel; Gigot, Gila, Romagnoli, Marušić; Guendouzi, Rovella; Isaksen, Dia, Zaccagni; Castellanos.
Monza’s issues have shown no signs of stopping this season, as they continue to sit bottom of the Serie A standings. Their form issues are highlighted after losing eight of their nine Serie A matches since the start of December. Only Southampton across the top five leagues have lost more.
Monza could welcome back Matteo Pessina this weekend from a minor injury. However, Danilo D’Ambrosio, Gianluca Caprari, Andrea Colpanii, and Samuele Brindelli all remain out with various injuries. That could create defensive issues for the visiting side to the Stadio Olimpico.
Jean-Daniel Akpa-Akpro and Gaetano Castrovilli have both been brought in by Monza to help their fight against the drop. Meanwhile, Kevin Zeroli was a loan signing from AC Milan.
Monza predicted lineup vs Lazio (3-4-2-1): Montipo; Coppola, Ghilardi, Daniliuc; Tchatchoua, Serdar, Belahyane, Lazovic; Niasse, Mosquera; Sarr.
Bet hereLazio’s home form has been sketchy in recent weeks, but they have at least won two of their last three matches.
The home side create a high volume of chances, evident from their xG of 29.03 from open play, and scoring 27 times. In contrast, Monza struggles to keep opposing sides out from open play, allowing 23 goals from an xGA of 25.78.
The trends also favour the chances of a home win being a winning Lazio vs Monza prediction, as the hosts have won three of their five Serie A matches against their rivals.
The corner market could offer value this weekend. Only Inter Milan average more corners per game than Lazio’s 5.96, and they have had over 10.5 corners in 52% of their matches this season. Despite their issues, Monza also average 3.78 corners per game, and have had over 9.5 in 48% of their fixtures this term.
Valentin Castellanos looks to be the obvious scoring angle for the home side this weekend. The striker has netted eight in 20 this season, despite underperforming in terms of an xG of 13.08. His shots per 90 average is remarkably higher than the rest of the Lazio team at 4.15.
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