Juventus are nine points behind Atalanta and should secure maximum points in the next matches if they want to stay in the title race. Thiago Motta’s team remains unbeaten in the current Serie A season but also holds the top position for the most draws.
After four consecutive matches ended in draws, Juve managed to beat Monza in the previous round with a hard-fought minimal victory.
Thiago Motta’s team uses a lot of passive horizontal passes. This allows Juventus to control possession with minimal risk. As a result, they rank among the top three teams in Serie A in terms of goals conceded and are first in expected goals conceded.
However, Juventus rarely create dangerous scoring opportunities, and their defense continues to make positional errors that lead to conceded goals. Despite all the caution in possession, Motta’s team have now conceded goals in four consecutive matches.
At the same time, the Bianconeri are quite capable of playing in an exciting and proactive style of attack, generating numerous scoring opportunities. However, this often occurs primarily when they find themselves trailing in a match.
Juventus have a very powerful attacking line, with every player capable of making a difference through dribbling, penetrating passes or strikes. Thiago Motta has built a very competent positional structure in which his team is able to stretch the opponent as much as possible and find holes in their defense.
But if Juventus continue to rely heavily on passive horizontal passes with minimal risk, they are unlikely to catch up with highly prolific teams like Inter and Atalanta.
After achieving eight consecutive wins in Serie A, Fiorentina have unexpectedly lost their last two matches.
Raffaele Palladino’s team are in fifth place and have a great chance to fight for a top-4 finish. His team are one of the top 5 teams in the Serie in terms of expected goals scored and conceded. I Viola generally show solid play in all phases of the game.
However, after an incredible winning streak, Fiorentina have experienced a noticeable decline in both their defensive and offensive play. In the games against Bologna and Udinese, they struggled with compactness between the defense and midfield, allowing opponents to easily penetrate Fiorentina’s final third.
While Palladino’s team displayed excellent combinations and maneuvering in these games, they lacked high-quality play in the final third, resulting in missed opportunities to capitalize on several promising scoring chances.
Additionally, being in the Europa League drains extra energy from Fiorentina’s players, which makes it difficult for them to maintain a high level of intensity in Serie A matches. Nevertheless, after a week’s rest without European matches, Raffaele Palladino’s team will surely be ready to pose big problems for Juventus.
Bet hereJuventus have lost just once this season – in the Champions League against Stuttgart (0-1). However, in all other matches, Thiago Motta’s team demonstrated a solid defensive performance and have shown brilliance in their attacking play at times.
Fiorentina are unlikely to hand the first defeat of the season to Juventus, as they have been struggling defensively recently. This has led them to concede goals in their last three matches.
Juventus achieved 6 wins in 13 home matches this season and conceded six goals in their last four matches on home field, drawing three times with 2-2.
Therefore, I believe the safest bet is that Juventus will not lose.
This match will feature teams with very strong attacking potential, and both are among the top five in Serie A in terms of goals scored.
At the same time, Juventus and Fiorentina regularly had problems with the organization of defensive actions in the past matches. Both teams have made several mistakes on the flanks, particularly when facing high-quality crosses from their opponents.
Given these factors, we can expect more than one goal in this match because, in the current situation, both teams need a win to secure a spot in the top four, which will likely push them to adopt an attacking approach.
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