Italy clinched a draw in a four-goal drama against Belgium. Andrea Cambiaso gave the Squadra Azzurra an early lead, and Mateo Retegui increased the advantage in the 24th minute. Nevertheless, the situation changed when Lorenzo Pellegrini was sent off in the first half, and Belgium eventually managed a 2-2 draw.
Italy were the better side. They controlled the ball and created chances against their opponents. Even in the second half, they started well, and the one-man disadvantage was not visible at first. However, the guests broke the deadlock.
Italy are considered heavy favourites in this match. They beat Israel in September and have the home advantage, so the three points seem likely for hosts.
Israel were unlucky to be in a group alongside Belgium, Italy and France. Ran Ben Shimon’s men were thrashed against France (1-4) in the third round of the Nations League. Now they sit fourth with zero points.
Despite their attacking style and entertaining performance, Israel have significant issues in the defence. They allow too many errors and the goalkeeper position is problematic. For instance, against France, Omri Glazer made a devastating mistake in the first goal, when he conceded Eduardo Camavinga’s strike.
Although Israel have demonstrated weaknesses in the back, when given a chance in the offence, the guests are effective at converting them.
Bet hereUnder Luciano Spalletti, Italy have improved notably. In the defence, they stand firmly and allow slim chances for the opponents. When given a comfortable lead, Italy are capable of maintaining this advantage till the end.
Israel have conceded 9 goals already and their defence has been struggling. Moreover, if we take a look at H2H matches, Italy won five out of six since 1961 and three of them were with a handicap.
We expect the hosts to live up to their status of favourites from the first minute. Italy will probably have the majority of the possession and eventually beat their opponents. Our pick in this game is Italy to win with a handicap (-1.5)
Israel is a team that scores and concedes against any team. Even in this group, the guests netted once in every match and when given opportunities they are efficient in the penalty area.
Italy on the other hand are solid in the defence but conceded in seven games consecutively. Most of these goals came from weaker teams. However, they also attack well and score regularly.
We think that given Israel’s poor form and Italy’s status, we will likely see a goal fest in this encounter. Both sides have quality attackers and our pick for the match would be over 2.5 goals.
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