| Odds via 22Bet | |
| Italy vs Germany | Thursday, March 20, 2025, 20:45 GMT+1 |
| Italy odds | 2.86 |
| Germany odds | 2.64 |
| Draw | 3.34 |
| Over/Under | Total 2,5: 2.10/1.74 |
| Betting Bonus | Up to 122 $/€ |
Luciano Spalletti’s men will have the home advantage for the first leg of the quarterfinal stage against Germany this week. The Italians narrowly finished behind France in the opening round after picking up four wins from six matches in Group A2. However, they finished below the former world champions based on goal difference.
International debuts could be handed out to as many as three stars this week. Matteo Ruggeri, Pietro Comuzzo, and Casare Casadei could make an international appearance.
First-team stars that are expected to start on Thursday include Sandro Tonali and Nicolo Barella. They should form an important partnership in the heart of the midfield. Federico Dimarco, Manuel Locatelli, and Nicolo Savona have all missed out on selection.
Italy predicted lineup vs Germany (3-5-2-1): Donnarumma; Di Lorenzo, Buongiorno, Bastoni, Cambiaso, Tonali, Barella, Frattesi, Udogie; Retegui, Raspadori.
Germany seem to be back on the right path under Julian Nagelsmann and look to re-enter talks surrounding a leading nation for FIFA World Cup glory next summer.
The nation performed well in the opening round of the Nations League. After winning four of their six matches, they finished top of the Group A3 standings and avoided defeat in all fixtures.
However, Nagelsmann will be without his best two goalkeepers this week, as Marc-Andre ter Stegen and Manuel Neuer are both out. Oliver Baumann could be handed a chance to shine.
Yann Aurel Bisseck, who impressed for Inter Milan in 2024-25, could make his international debut.
Germany predicted lineup vs Italy (4-2-3-1): Baumann; Kimmich, Koch, Schlotterbeck, Henrichs; Andrich, Goretzka; Sane, Musiala, Adeyemi; Undav.
Bet hereHome matches have been highly open affairs for Italy over the last 12 months. They’ve normalised 2.25 goals per 90 but also conceded an average of 1.75.
That would be a significant concern against a Germany team that have been dynamic in the final third under Nagelsmann, scoring approximately 2.4 per game. That excellent attacking quality could ultimately be the difference at San Siro on Thursday.
It’s somewhat surprising to see over 2.5 goals at 2.10 this week. Home events involving Italy have seen an average of four netted per 90 over the last 12 months. Germany’s away matches have seen around 2.8.
Both teams to score could also be a solid Italy vs Germany prediction, as the hosts have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last four games. The visitors were also unable to maintain a shut out in their previous five on the road.
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