Italy is on the brink of finishing first in Group 2 of the Nations League. Following a close victory against Belgium, Luciano Spalletti’s men are now three points ahead of France, and a draw in the upcoming encounter is sufficient to clinch first place.
Italy have been consistent throughout the campaign. The only occasion when the Squadra Azzura lost points was against Belgium at home, when they were down to ten men for the entire second half.
Nevertheless, they managed to get revenge in the previous game, thanks to Sandro Tonali’s only goal. The visitors controlled possession most of the time and eventually deserved a much-needed win.
Now, Italy faces a crucial match against France. They should not lose by two goals or more; any other outcome will suffice for the hosts.
In Kylian Mbappé’s absence, France surprisingly drew against Israel (0-0) in the previous round. While the hosts had a considerable advantage and dictated the tempo, they were unable to convert their chances into a breakthrough goal.
That being said, France lacked their usual determination against Israel. Marcus Thuram missed a golden opportunity in the final minutes to secure a victory. However, credit must be given to Israel’s goalkeeper Daniel Peretz, who produced a masterclass between the posts, making eight crucial saves to deny the French forwards.
Didier Deschamps tried to inject fresh energy with a number of substitutions in the second half but it was not enough to secure the three points.
The French coach has been under pressure recently as questions arise over his ability to restore the team’s former glory. Zinedine Zidane looks like a possible replacement if France’s performance doesn’t improve in the near future.
The only hope for Les Bleus would be a two-goal victory against Italy on the road. However, with Mbappé absent and France’s lacklustre form, it seems like an impossible task.
Bet hereItaly are on a five-match unbeaten streak, which includes victories over teams like Belgium and France. After a devastating defeat against Switzerland, we now see a completely different Squadra Azzura, solid in defence and converting chances in offence.
France, on the other hand, find themselves in a rough patch. In spite of the dominance against Israel, more was expected from the hosts on home soil and fans have become frustrated with the team’s inability to convert possession into meaningful chances.
Given the current forms of the teams, we think that Italy won’t pass on the opportunity to finish first in the group. The Italians have a more balanced squad and their well-drilled defensive unit should limit the chances of conceding. Our betting tip for Italy vs France is Italy or draw.
Italy and France have produced plenty of exciting and tense matches in recent years. The rivalry is characterized by an exchange of goals and attacking moments. This is evident from the previous four matches, all of which ended with both teams scoring.
Moreover, the match is pivotal for France, and Didier Deschamp’s men require nothing less than victory. It seems reasonable that Les Blues will go to the offensive and leave space behind.
Italy, on the other hand, have scored in five consecutive matches, and we expect them to do the same at home. Davide Frattesi will look forward to scoring his fourth Nations League goal, while Randal Kolo Muani will also be eager to add to his tally.
We don’t anticipate a closed game because France need to triumph in this match. Our pick for this encounter is both teams to score.
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