Odds via 22bet | |
Ipswich vs Southampton | February 1, 2025. 16:00 GMT+1 |
Ipswich odds | 1.92 |
Southampton odds | 3.76 |
Draw | 3.74 |
Over\Under 2.5 | 1.79/2.03 |
Kieran McKenna will see this weekend’s clash with Southampton as a must-win encounter in his side’s battle to avoid the drop.
The Tractor Boys have adopted a back five in a 5-4-1 formation in recent weeks, but despite an upturn in results to begin with, they have now lost each of their last three. Over that period, they have conceded 12 goals and scored just once.
Attacking output when deploying that system has been poor, scoring just three goals from an xG of 2.75. It has also done little to improve their defensive record, allowing 13 goals from an xGA of 11.11.
McKenna will be without Chiedozie Ogbene, Conor Chaplin, Sammie Szmodics this weekend, but Jaden Philogene is a like-for-like replacement after signing from Aston Villa.
Ipswich predicted lineup vs Southampton: (4-2-3-1): Walton; Tuanzebe, O’Shea, Greaves, Davis; Phillips, Morsy; Burns, Hutchinson, Philogene; Delap.
Southampton already have slim hopes of staying in the Premier League this season, but any potential hope will hinge on a positive result this weekend. The Saints come into the round sitting bottom of the standings, and they have lost each of their last six.
Furthermore, Southampton have allowed at least three goals in each of their last four. But, it could be argued that the Saints have performed better than their recent results suggest. They have averaged xGs of at least one in two of their last three.
However, defensive issues continue to contribute to a high xGA of 47.69, and they have allowed 39 goals from open play. Their defensive issues could be aided by the returns of Jack Stephens, Aaron Ramsdale, Ryan Fraser this weekend.
Southampton predicted lineup vs Ipswich: (3-4-1-2): Ramsdale; Bree, Bednarek, Harwood-Bellis; Walker-Peters, Aribo, Fernandes, Manning; Dibling; Onuachu, Armstrong.
Bet hereThis could be a damning weekend for Ipswich’s survival prospects, and their home record hasn’t been good enough since earning promotion to the Premier League.
Ipswich have recorded an xG of 1.13 in home matches and have scored an average of 0.67 per game. Their record in away matches is much better, scoring an average of 1.18.
Southampton’s performances have improved, even if the results don’t support it. Therefore, they could be the interesting Ipswich vs Southampton prediction this weekend.
Given the defensive records of both of these sides, a high-scoring affair is likely this weekend. Southampton have conceded an average of 1.92 goals per game on the road this season, and they have kept clean sheets in just 8% of their matches. Meanwhile, Ipswich have conceded an average of 2.0 goals per game at home, and have kept just clean sheets in just 8% of their matches at Portman Road.
Tyler Dibling could be the outstanding star this weekend. The forward has been attracted interest from some of the Premier League’s biggest teams, and has accumulated an xG of 2.33 from an average of 1.69 shots per game this season, scoring a total of two goals.
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