The final round of matches in Nations League Group A3 takes place on Tuesday. Hungary will be hoping to secure third spot in the standings, with their hopes of making it through to next summer’s quarterfinals already over.
Hungary have struggled in the final third throughout the Nations League this year, scoring just three times. Meanwhile, they have failed to win in four of their last five. Their home form would be a concerning factor this week, as the Magyars have clocked up an xG average of just 1.24, netting just five times in their last four.
Meanwhile, defensively, they have conceded an xGA of 1.27 and allowed four goals. In fact, Hungary have failed to score in 25% of their home matches across the last year.
Sweeping changes could be made following a 4-0 defeat against the Netherlands, with Ádám Nagy, Dániel Gera, and Levente Szabó likely to be recalled to suit their defensive approach against Germany.
The visitors have already secured top spot in the Nations League A3 standings, as they are five points clear of the Netherlands. It could be important to note before making a Hungary vs Germany prediction that the visitors are unbeaten in their five matches in the competition, and have scored a group-high tally of 17 goals.
Meanwhile, Germany also boasts the best defensive record, having conceded just three times. Germany have scored an average of 1.5 goals per game on the road this year from xG average of 1.72. Meanwhile, they have conceded an xGA of just 1.13.
However, it could be vital to acknowledge that the national side are yet to keep a clean sheet in their last four away matches. Tim Kleindienst will likely retain his position in the number nine role after netting twice against Bosnia, while Jamal Musiala and Florian Wirtz will likely float around in the number ten positions.
Bet hereHungary have struggled against the better teams in the Nations League this year, and their defensive approach didn’t gain much success against the Netherlands over the weekend.
A similar story could play out on Tuesday, as Germany will dominate the possession and make their advantage in the final third count. A straightforward win for the visitors looks like a sound football prediction, and they could also be good value to cover the (-1) handicap in Budapest.
Tim Kleindienst has been in excellent scoring form this season, netting six in ten for Borussia Monchengladbach in the Bundesliga. He has now netted twice in three internationals for Germany and is boasting an eye-catching xG of 1.17 per game. His proficiency in the air could make him a dangerous player once again on Tuesday.
Given that Germany will dominate the ball, an interesting betting angle could be for Hungary to commit the most fouls. The hosts average 13.75 fouls per match in home fixtures, and draw just under nine fouls per game.
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