Odds via 22bet | |
Germany vs Scotland | June 14, 20:00 GMT+1 |
Germany odds | 1.26 |
Scotland odds | 11 |
Draw | 5.85 |
Over\Under | Total 2,5: 1.68 \ 2.18 |
The opening match of EURO 2024 will feature Germany vs Scotland. After experimenting with various tactics and squad selections in 2023, Julian Nagelsmann stabilized the team’s performance and improved the play of the German national team.
Germany’s primary formation is a 4-2-3-1, and the squad is now fully set. However, notable omissions from the roster, such as Mats Hummels, Leon Goretzka, Julian Brandt, Serge Gnabry, and Timo Werner, have sparked controversy. Despite the backlash, Nagelsmann remained resolute in his decisions and confident in his chosen lineup.
Following defeats to Turkey and Austria at the end of 2023, Germany bounced back with a 2-0 victory over France in March 2024 and a 2-1 win against the Netherlands on their home turf. It’s important to note that Germany’s opponents created numerous chances in both matches, and the scoreline could have been different.
The team faced significant challenges breaking out of the opponents’ pressing and showed vulnerability in transitioning from attack to defense. These issues were prominent, especially in the June matches against Ukraine and Greece, where Germany struggled both defensively and offensively. Their positional attacks often lacked structure, making it difficult to penetrate the opponents’ low defensive block.
Despite these challenges, the German national team enters the first round of the European Championship match against Scotland as the clear favorite.
Recent Form | WDWWL |
Key Player to Watch | Toni Kroos |
Team Strengths | Tactical flexibility and unpredictability for the opponent. |
Team Weaknesses | Problems with converting chances into goals, big problems in transitions from offense to defense. |
Scotland’s national team moved ahead of Norway in the standings for European Championship qualification after a crucial 2-1 win in Oslo and an impressive 2-0 home win over Spain.
However, in 2023 and 2024, the Steve Clarke-led team endured several defeats against top-tier opponents, losing 1-2 at home to England in friendlies, 1-4 away to France, 0-4 away to the Netherlands, and 0-2 away to Spain in an official match. In these matches, Scotland showed occasional defensive vulnerabilities and struggled with fatigue, leading to their defeats.
While Scotland has shown the ability to organize their defense and launch quick attacks from the flanks, the team seems to lack the physical endurance needed to sustain their performance throughout the entire match.
Recent Form | DWLLD |
Key Players to Watch | Andrew Robertson |
Team Strengths | High level players on the left flank |
Team Weaknesses | Weak squad compared to competitor |
The last time these teams met was in the qualifying for Euro 2016 when Germany – as the reigning world champions – defeated Scotland 2-1 and 3-2 in both matches.
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Scotland has a vulnerable trio of central defenders, particularly susceptible against a mobile opposition center forward who stretches the Scottish defense.
In the upcoming match, Germany’s attacking success will hinge on Kai Havertz, who has been in excellent form lately, playing as a “false nine.” His deceptive moves can unsettle opponents and create opportunities for İlkay Gündoğan and other attacking players in the German national squad.
Scotland can rely on flank counterattacks, utilizing the pace and skill of John McGinn, Ryan Christie, and Andrew Robertson, along with Scott McTominay’s determined forward play. These strategies might be especially effective in the match’s early stages when the German team tends to be less focused and prone to making mistakes.
In tactical terms, Germany’s primary objective will likely be to penetrate Scotland’s defense through the center. This strategy capitalizes on Scotland’s lack of a top-level defensive midfielder and their relatively weak central defense.
Germany’s attacking players are adept at combining effectively and outplaying their opponents in the central zone just outside the penalty area. This capability suggests that Germany may create numerous scoring opportunities through central attacks, exploiting the vulnerabilities in Scotland’s defensive setup.
In the upcoming match, Scotland’s team may start with one or two strong counterattacks before focusing on a tight defensive setup in their own half. Germany is likely to win, especially if they can score an early goal to put psychological pressure on their opponents.
However, if Germany, as usual, commits 8-9 players to the attack, Scotland may find opportunities for counterattacks and could potentially score at least one goal. If Scotland does manage to score, it could be challenging for Nagelsmann’s team to recover and secure the win.
Nevertheless, Germany’s significant skill advantage over their opponents means they are likely to still prevail, even if they concede the first goal.
In away matches against top opponents, Scotland typically spend most of the match in their own half and seldom manage to register more than three or four shots on target. This is partly because they lack a high-profile striker.
Germany, on the other hand, often struggles to convert their attempts into shots on target. However, Nagelsmann’s highly motivated team is expected to outscore their opponents in this aspect, capitalizing on their attacking prowess and depth.
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