Germany vs Italy Prediction, Preview, Team News and Lineups 23.03.2025

• Date and Time: Sunday, March 23, 2025, 19:45 GMT+1
• Venue: Signal Iduna Park, Dortmund, Germany

Odds via 22Bet
Germany vs Italy	Sunday, March 23, 2025, 19:45 GMT+1
Germany odds	1.77
Italy odds	4.62
Draw	3.64
Over/Under	Total 2,5: 1.80/1.88
Betting Bonus	Up to 122 $/€

Germany vs Italy Preview and Team News

Germany Team News

Despite trailing in the first half, Germany secured a necessary victory (1-2) against Italy, boosting their chances of advancing to the semifinals. The visitors were significantly better in the second half and grabbed a deserved win.

In the absence of the club’s talisman Manuel Neuer, Oliver Baumann put up a solid effort. We should also note Germany’s attacking performance, as Julian Nagelsmann’s side produced 1.11 xG.

Germany have no major injury worries ahead of the second leg. We expect the same lineup to start against Italy, with the only possible change being Tim Kleindienst featuring instead of Mainz’s Jonathan Burkardt. 

Germany predicted lineup vs Italy (4-2-3-1): Baumann; Raum, Rudiger, Tah, Kimmich; Goretzka, Gross; Amiri, Musiala, Sane; Kleindienst.

Italy Team News

Italy had a positive head start in the first half thanks to Sandro Tonali’s goal but eventually succumbed to a defeat. After Tim Kleindienst equalised, they looked disorganised and conceded again in the 76th minute.

Under Luciano Spalletti, Italy are still in the process of finding their style. While they had a great display on the UEL group stage, there are issues finding the optimal squad against top-tier opponents.

There are no injury concerns, but we expect some changes in the lineup. Lorenzo Lucca is likely to feature instead of Giacomo Raspadori, who performed below-par in the first leg.

Italy predicted lineup vs Germany (3-5-2): Donnarumma; Di Lorenzo, Bastoni, Calafiori; Politano, Barella, Rovella, Tonali, Udogie; Kean, Lucca.

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Germany vs Italy Prediction

• Pick: Germany to Win
• Odds: 1.77 (22Bet)
• Score prediction: Germany 2-0 Italy

Germany looked better against Italy, especially in the second half. Also, revising the H2H stats, the visitors have failed to beat their opposition since 2012. We think the second leg will be similar to the first.

The home squad are now on a seven-game winning streak. They previously lost in November 2023. Italy, on the other hand, have problems on the road, and we don’t think they’ll bounce back after a disappointing first-match display.

The hosts have a comfortable advantage and aren’t likely to squander it. Thus, our first pick for the upcoming encounter would be Germany to win. 

Germany vs Italy Prediction, Betting Tip

• Pick: Under 2.5 Goals
• Odds: 1.88 (22Bet)

Unlike the first match, when we saw an exchange of goals, we anticipate a different scenario in this one. Germany, with a convenient lead, will want to maintain their advantage. Currently, Italy don’t have enough resources to trouble their opponents.

At the same time, the visitors have problems with coordination. Certain players are performing well at the club level but seem to struggle in the national team. It was visible against Germany.

We think that Julian Nagelsmann will choose a pragmatic approach, and there will be a closer game in the second leg. Our second pick for Sunday would be under 2.5 goals. 

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