It could be argued that Fulham’s performances this season haven’t been reflected in terms of the points they have achieved. For the second weekend running, Fulham underperformed in terms of the xG accumulated and have taken just one point from a possible six.
In their last home match, Fulham registered an xG of 2.63, but could only score once in a 3-1 loss against Aston Villa. The Cottagers have played an expansive style of play this season, with wide players such as Adama and Alex Iwobi tasked with creating chances for the in-form Raul Jimenez.
The xG indicates that they are fulfilling their task with a stat of 14.19, but being more clinical is their main target after netting just eleven times from open play.
Silva will be without Timothy Castagne and Sasa Lukic this weekend, but Kenny Tete and Sander Berge are likely to play in their place at right-back and defensive midfield, respectively.
It’s easy to assess that these sides match up similarly before making a Fulham vs Brentford prediction. The Bees also play in a 4-2-3-1 formation, with a counter-attacking style suiting the players at their disposal.
Brentford were excellent against Ipswich last weekend, registering an xG of 4.10 in a 4-3 comeback success at the Gtech Community Stadium. Brentford have been sharp starters in the Premier League this term, netting in the opening 45 minutes on eleven occasions. No side has scored more frequently than the Bees in the opening 15 minutes, netting four from an xG of 2.88.
Bryan Mbeumo has been the key man for Brentford, netting eight times from an xG of 3.81. The forward has switched back to the wing following the return of Yoane Wissa, and their pace in the transition could be very concerning for Fulham on Monday.
The Bees remain without full-backs Aaron Hickey and Rico Henry, meaning Sepp van der Berg and Mads Roerslev will keep their places.
Bet hereBased on the trends, it’s incredibly hard to bet against Brentford at the odds available. The Bees have lost just once in their last nine against the Cottagers in the league, and they have suffered just one defeat in away trips to Craven Cottage.
Brentford’s excellent attacking quality is evident by their xG of 14.3 from open play, and we fully expect them to register at least two goals after having netted in ten of their last trips to Fulham.
The Cottagers have a fighting chance, but their defensive issues could hold them back once again after conceding 12 in nine this season. Alternatively, both teams to score could be one of the safest football bets to make today.
Yoane Wissa could be the interesting football prediction when it comes to a goal scorer. The forward recently made his return from injury, and he finally looks back up to Premier League speed.
He has netted four in six matches this season, meaning he is operating just below his xG of 4.09. Wissa averaged 2.90 shots per match, and against a shaky Fulham defence, he will likely get his fair share of chances on Monday.
Alternatively, Fulham to receive the most bookings this weekend also catches the eye. The Cottagers have averaged 2.78 cards per match, and they have had over 4.5 cards in 33% of their matches. Conversely, Brentford have averaged a league-low of 1.56 yellows per game, and have received over 5.5 cards in just 11% of their matches.
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