| Odds via 22bet | |
| Fulham vs Arsenal | December 8, 14:00 GMT+1 |
| Fulham odds | 5.40 |
| Arsenal odds | 1.58 |
| Draw | 4.26 |
| Over\Under | Total 2,5: 1.72/2.13 |
Marco Silva’s Fulham will bid to continue their excellent record in London derbies on Sunday, having avoided defeat in their last eight.
The Cottagers have been competitive against all established top-six teams in the Premier League this season without reverting away from their tried-and-tested 4-2-3-1 formation. Fulham’s forward line has caught the eye this term, with Emile Smith Rowe’s addition being integral in linking the midfield to the forwards.
Despite that, Fulham are still underperforming in their xG metric 19.11, scoring just 17 times from open play. Meanwhile, their xGA is also slightly lower than the number of goals they have allowed, with the Cottagers allowing 15 from an xGA of 12.48.
| Recent Form (all competitions, most recent first) | D-L-W-W-D |
| Key Players to Watch | Emile Smith Rowe, Reiss Nelson |
| Team Strengths | Excellent counter-attacking speed |
| Team Weaknesses | Vulnerable from setpieces |
| Injuries and Suspensions | Tom Cairney (Suspended) Joachim Andersen (Calf) Harrison Reed (Knee) |
All the pressure this weekend will be on Mikel Arteta’s Arsenal, as the Gunners will be aware that every fixture is virtually a must-win encounter if they are to close the gap on Liverpool at the summit.
Arsenal’s forward line has thrived since the international break, netting fifteen in their last five across all competitions. A return to form has been sparked following Martin Ødegaard’s comeback from injury.
Arsenal will once again deploy their 4-3-3 formation, which has achieved massive success at both ends of the field based on xG metrics this term. When playing the system, the Gunners have scored 15 goals from an xG of 13.27, while they have allowed just three goals from an xGA of 5.88.
| Recent Form (all competitions, most recent first) | W-W-W-D-L |
| Key Players to Watch | Martin Ødegaard, Bukayo Saka |
| Team Strengths | Strong defensively and quick in transitions |
| Team Weaknesses | Often struggle to break down opponents that deploy a deep line |
| Injuries and Suspensions | Riccardo Calafiori (Discomfort) Thomas Partey (Muscle) Mikel Merino (Knee) Ben White (Knee) |
The head-to-head meetings deserve special attention before making a prediction about Fulham vs. Arsenal. The Cottagers have enjoyed a positive recent record against the Gunners, avoiding defeat in the last two.
That includes a 2-1 success in this exact fixture last season. However, Arsenal’s overall record remains a key angle, as the Gunners have won on five of their previous six visits to Craven Cottage.
Bet hereFormer Arsenal star Emile Smith Rowe will try to prove Arteta wrong on Sunday. The English star has been a standout player for Fulham this season, leading the charge for their attacking threat.
Smith Rowe has been the linking player between the holding midfielders and the wingers, which is evident in his stats this term.
The attacking midfielder has already registered five goal involvements in 13 appearances, which includes three goals from xG of 2.67. He also averages 1.38 key passes per 90, meaning Arsenal will need to keep him quiet to gain maximum points on Sunday.
Such is Arsenal’s dominance in the Premier League when they are at their best. They’ll look to dictate the pace of the game at Craven Cottage on Sunday. The Gunners have been a possession-based team since Arteta’s arrival, but they have typically struggled this season against teams playing with a deep line.
Fulham have approached their games against top-six rivals in contrasting styles this season. Against Man City, they looked to play an aggressive counter-press, while against Tottenham last weekend, the Cottagers sat back and looked to spring quickly on the counter-attack.
Fulham have already shown this season that they can compete against the best in the Premier League, meaning that this won’t be an easy assignment for Arteta’s side.
However, the increased pressure could bring out the best in the Gunners, who have looked a transformed side since the return of Ødegaard. The Norwegian can help unlock the tight defensive line this weekend, and he could be an interesting betting angle to register an assist.
Meanwhile, Arsenal’s six wins in seven visits to Craven Cottage is hard to dismiss when making football predictions on the match result.
Central defender Gabriel has been an excellent goal outlet for the Gunners this season, netting three from an xG of 3.01. The Brazilian could make the difference once again this weekend, and he could be a good value in scoring a header. Fulham’s poor defensive record from corners has seen them concede three goals from an xGA of 1.87, meaning that there is value in the betting based on the trends.
Ill-discipline has been a trait for both Fulham and Arsenal this season, with the teams averaging 2.38 and 2.46 cards per match, respectively. Therefore, it could be worth taking a chance on over 4.5 cards in the game at Craven Cottage on Sunday.
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