A pivotal period of the season awaits Sean Dyche and his Everton side as they face three massive fixtures against Wolves, Liverpool, and Arsenal across the next ten days. The Toffees remain in a battle at the wrong end of the standings, and they come into the midweek round just two points clear of the bottom three spots.
The Toffees were hammered 4-0 by Manchester United in their previous outing, meaning a better defensive performance will be required on Wednesday. Their xGA indicates that they have struggled in that regard this season, accumulating a metric of 16.75 and conceding 17 goals from open play.
Being clinical in the final third is also a major issue, with just six goals being scored from an xG of 10.85. Dominic Calvert-Lewin should be well-rested after being taken out of the firing line at Old Trafford, while Armando Broja is nearing full fitness for Dyche’s side.
Gary O’Neil’s Wolves saw their unbeaten sequence in the Premier League end on Saturday, as they suffered a 4-2 loss at home against Bournemouth. However, the West Midlands side have at least been competitive in the competition this season, with much of their success being down to their ability to be versatile.
Wolves have typically reverted to a back three in a 3-4-2-1 formation, but they are also capable of playing a deep-lying 4-2-3-1. In the final third, Wolves have excelled this season, scoring 20 goals despite having an xG of just 11.77.
However, their defensive record will need to improve, having conceded 20 goals from an xGA of 16.71 from open play. O’Neil will have a fully fit squad to select from this week, with Craig Dawson likely to be recalled to play in the centre of defence.
Bet hereThe head-to-head record could prove to show the best value in the market when making an Everton vs Wolves prediction. Wolves are unbeaten in their last six against the Toffees, winning on five occasions.
Meanwhile, the Midlands team have won on their last three trips to Goodison Park. Wolves’ style of play is certainly better suited to playing on the road, as they can drop deep and look to spring into action on the counter-attack.
That should benefit their chances on Wednesday, as Everton showed on Sunday that they are vulnerable when the ball is turned over, and a big week for the Toffees could get off to a damaging start in front of their own fans.
Matheus Cunha has been the player for the away days for Wolves, netting a staggering 71% of his efforts in away matches for Gary O’Neil’s side. Cunha has already scored seven goals this season from a remarkably low xG of 3.41. The Brazilian averages 3.09 shots per 90, and he could be the key man once again at Everton.
An interesting alternative could be on Wolves to win under 4.5 corners. O’Neil’s side has the lowest average in the Premier League this season, winning 3.08 corners per match. Interestingly, Everton don’t rank much better at an average of 4.58 corners per 90. Therefore, under 7.5 corners in the match could also provide value.
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