| Odds via 22Bet | |
| Empoli vs Lazio | Sunday, May 4, 2025, 12:30 GMT+1 |
| Empoli odds | 4.52 |
| Lazio odds | 1.80 |
| Draw | 3.58 |
| Over\Under | Total 2.5: 2/1.81 |
| Betting Bonus | Up to 122 $/€ |
Empoli’s last month has been a microcosm of their season. They fought to a goalless stalemate with Cagliari, were defeated 3-0 by Antonio Conte’s vertical Napoli press, surrendered a 2-2 draw against Venezia, and most recently lost the Tuscan derby 2-1 in Florence despite Fazzini’s late strike.
Roberto D’Aversa has retained the 3-4-2-1 shape, using Emmanuel Gyasi and Liberato Cacace as aggressive wing-backs to push the block higher. The downside is free space on either side of the wide centre-backs: Fiorentina and Napoli exploited those channels.
D’Aversa’s survival bid has been complicated by a treatment-room that is still crowded. Long-term absentees Youssef Maleh and Szymon Żurkowski have both been ruled out for the season with knee-ligament damage.
Meanwhile, Christian Kouamé and on-loan striker Pietro Pellegri likewise remain unavailable. Midfielder Nicolas Haas continues his recovery from an ACL tear and won’t feature.
Empoli predicted lineup vs Lazio (5-3-2): Suzuki; Delprato, Leoni, Valenti, Hainaut, Hernani; Keita, Sohm, Valeri; Pellegrino, Bonny.
Lazio arrive after three markedly different contests. They executed a classic back-foot display to beat Atalanta 1-0 in Bergamo with Gustav Isaksen converting on of their only three shots on target. Then they blunted Roma in a tense 1-1 derby.
Four days later, despite a 3-1 win against Bodø/Glimt at the Olimpico, they were eliminated from the Europa League, losing in a penalty shootout 2-3.
After that, they won in the match against Genoa 2-0.
Last Monday, however, their midfield lost verticality. Parma surged 2-0 ahead and only a late Pedro brace rescued a 2-2 draw that felt like two points dropped in the Champions League chase.
Baroni’s tactical hallmark is a disciplined double pivot shielding an aggressive front-four that interchanges freely once possession is secured in the middle third.
The pivot’s tempo dictates everything – when Rovella receives on the half-turn and Guendouzi pushes beyond the first press, Lazio accelerate; when both play back to front centre-backs, Lazio become predictable, as against Parma.
Marco Baroni comes south without several full-backs. Nuno Tavares, whose stop-start season has been plagued by muscle issues, is again sidelined and could even be sold this summer.
Manuel Lazzari (adductor inury) is still at least a week away. The midfield duo of Matteo Guendouzi and Nicolò Rovella, criticised for an off-colour display against Parma, trained on Monday and are ready to play.
Lazio predicted lineup vs Empoli (3-4-2-1): Butez; Vojvoda, Kempf, Goldaniga, Valle, Caqueret, Da Cunha, Ikoné; Nico Paz, Strefezza; Douvikas.
Bet hereMarco Baroni’s men have produced eight goals in their last seven Serie A fixtures and showed at Genoa and Bergamo that they can translate transitional dominance into ruthless finishing.
Empoli have conceded goals in nine of their last ten home games, with significant mistakes in defence. Lazio’s open-phase width should stretch a back three that conceded twice in 26 minutes at the Stadio Artemio Franchi against Fiorentina.
Lazio are well-positioned to score at least two goals against Empoli.
The host team have conceded 54 goals in 34 matches, averaging 1.59 goals against per game, and have allowed multiple goals in recent fixtures, including a 3-0 loss to Napoli and a 2-1 defeat to Fiorentina.
Lazio, on the other hand, have scored 57 goals this season, averaging 1.68 goals per game, and have netted at least two goals in four of their last six matches, including a 2-2 draw with Parma and a 2-1 victory over Empoli in their previous encounter.
Considering Empoli’s defensive struggles and Lazio’s attacking form, it’s reasonable to expect Lazio to score over 1.5 goals in this match.
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