| Odds via 22Bet | |
| Borussia Dortmund vs Mainz | Sunday, March 30, 2025, 16:30 GMT+1 |
| Borussia Dortmund odds | 1.68 |
| Mainz odds | 4.66 |
| Draw | 4.06 |
| Over/Under | Total 2.5: 1.7/2.15 |
| Betting Bonus | Up to 122 $/€ |
Borussia Dortmund are sauntering toward the business end of the Bundesliga season. They’ve failed to capture the consistency they need to challenge for a place in the top four and qualification for next season’s Champions League.
Current form has seen them win twice and lose three times in their last five outings, including back-to-back defeats in their previous two Bundesliga fixtures.
The club have collected 35 points from 26 rounds, including 10 victories, 5 ties, and 11 losses. Their inconsistency is evident by the 45 goals scored and 41 conceded, indicating defensive frailties that have dogged them across the 2024/25 season.
Injuries have taken their toll as well. Currently, there are six first-team players sidelined with injury. These include Felix Nmecha, Filippo Mane, Marcel Lotka (shoulder), Cole Campbell, Daniel Svensson, and Marcel Sabitzer.
My prediction focuses on the inconsistency of Borussia Dortmund, which adds to the excitement and uncertainty of Sunday’s match.
Borussia Dortmund Predicted Lineup vs Mainz FC (4-2-3-1): Kobel; Ryerson, Schlotterbeck, Can, Anton; Groß, Chukwuemeka; Beier, Brandt, Adeyemi; Guirassy.
High-flying Mainz 05 will look to retain their brilliant form and their course to finishing inside the top four of the Bundesliga. They are unbeaten in their last five outings, winning four and drawing once.
The tie came last time out at home to Freiburg. The 2-2 score saw Mainz surrender leads twice in the match, the second one coming after Dominik Kohr was sent off for the hosting squad. They’ll hope to bounce back to winning ways this weekend when they travel to Signal Iduna Park.
The visiting club have scored a respectable 44 goals in 26 outings this Bundesliga season. Even more impressive are the 28 goals they conceded. It’s the second-best defensive record in the German top division, only behind Bayern Munich, who’ve conceded 24.
On the injury front, only center-back Stefan Bell is sidelined with an injury. However, Dominik Kohr and Philipp Mwene are both suspended for the upcoming match.
I see Mainz facing a banana skin against unpredictable and inconsistent hosts.
Mainz Predicted Lineup vs Borussia Dortmund (3-4-2-1): Zentner; da Costa, Jenz, Hanche-Olsen; Caci, Sano, Amiri, Nordin; Nebel, Lee; Burkardt.
Bet hereGoing on form alone, the visitors have the edge in Sunday’s match. They’re unbeaten in their last five, and sit inside the top four. In contrast, Borussia Dortmund are inconsistent, winning two and losing three of their previous five.
However, when we look at the head-to-head record, the home squad have an edge over Mainz 05. While Borussia Dortmund have been inconsistent, this makes them unpredictable and potentially awkward for the guests.
On the other hand, Mainz 05 are confident and buoyed by recent good results and a spot inside the top four. A draw is my football pick, given the recent tactics and form of both teams.
Expect a low-scoring game where the two sides will be tactical in their respective approaches. Borussia Dortmund will be solid in their 4-2-3-1 formation. They’ll have two deep-lying midfielders to protect the back-four, making it challenging for them to concede chances in transition.
Mainz 05 will line up in a 3-4-2-1 formation that can morph into a back-five when out of possession. This will also offer them a platform to defend, making it difficult for the hosts to create chances.
These tactical approaches will lead to a cagey match, with both teams managing under 1.5 goals.
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