Oliver Glasner’s Crystal Palace picked up a much-needed 1-0 win over Ipswich midweek to climb clear of the bottom three places. The Eagles looked more assured following the return of Eberechi Eze, as the number ten was responsible for running with the ball and getting his team up the field.
You should note Adam Wharton’s absence before making a Crystal Palace vs. Man City prediction this weekend. The England international is unlikely to return until the start of 2025.
Despite being without their influential holding midfielder, the Eagles have overachieved in their xGA of 17.52 from open play this term, conceding 15 times. However, it should be noted that Palace have been far from clinical in the final third, scoring just seven goals from an xG of 18.72.
The Eagles will need to be clinical against the Citizens this weekend, as the champions are unlikely to give away many clear-scoring opportunities.
Pep Guardiola’s champions ended a seven-game winless sequence in midweek after storming to a 3-0 home win over Nottingham Forest. It isn’t surprising that City bounced back to form when Kevin De Bruyne was in his best form of the season, with the midfielder scoring and assisting in the win at the Etihad.
However, the pressure will still be on City this weekend. They’ll need to string together several victories to close the gap on Liverpool at the top of the standings.
Despite their quality in the final third, the Citizens are underperforming in terms of an xG of 23.48, having scored just 20 goals from open play. You should also note that City have conceded 16 goals from an xGA of 19.98.
In Rodri’s absence, Jack Grealish played a more profound role with great success on Wednesday, and he could be deployed in that role again at Selhurst Park.
Bet hereWhile Palace have been hard to beat in their last five, their record against Man City is too poor to overlook. The Citizens have won 12 of the last 18 meetings between the sides, including seven wins on their last nine visits to Selhurst Park.
The champions looked back to their controlled best against Forest on Wednesday, with Grealish able to control the game when the team had the ball.
Palace’s control of matches has been a weak point this season in the absence of Wharton, and there is a real chance that they could get over-run by a resurgent City on Saturday.
There’s no surprise that City looked back to their best with De Bruyne in the team. The midfielder was at the heart of everything optimistic the Citizens did on Wednesday, and his influence could be telling once again on Saturday. De Bruyne has accumulated an xGA of 3.75 this season, recording two assists in eight appearances.
Alternatively, Palace could be a good bet to pick up over 2.5 cards this weekend, given that they will be chasing the ball for much of the game. The Eagles have averaged 2.43 cards per game in the Premier League this season.
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