Colombia will face Ecuador following a controversial loss against Uruguay (3-2). The hosts will be motivated to bounce back immediately, as they conceded a 90+11-minute goal from Manuel Ugarte.
Nevertheless, Colombia have an ideal chance to qualify for the 2026 World Cup after missing it in 2022. Trailing only three points behind leaders Argentina, under Néstor Lorenzo, the team have demonstrated strong football both offensively and defensively. Since his appointment, La Tricolor have yet to suffer a competitive home defeat.
Colombia also has a great H2H record against Ecuador. In the last eight home WCQ matches, they have won six and drawn two, keeping seven clean sheets in the process. Given Los Cafeteros’s current performance at the World Cup Qualifiers, a positive outcome looks likely for the hosts.
Ecuador sit three points below Colombia following a three-point deduction, due to the use of false documentation related to player Byron Castillo.
The visitors will enter the match as outsiders though they managed to keep four clean sheets in the qualifiers, setting a new national record.
The last match against Bolivia ended in an easy victory for Ecuador. Throughout the whole match, they had the initiative. The team’s legend and captain, Enner Valencia, shone again, scoring a penalty in the first half while assisting Gonzalo Plata twice.
Ecuador will look forward to a back-to-back World Cup appearance for the first time since 2002-2006. Under Sebastián Beccacece, Ecuador are a tough side at home, but struggle away against top sides. As of now, they have won only once in their last seven WCQ outings, losing and drawing three games respectively.
Bet hereAt home, Colombia are a force to be reckoned with against any national team. We saw them beating Argentina in a convincing fashion while thrashing Chile 4-0. Moreover against Ecuador, they have superior H2H stats, with the guests winning last time against Colombia in the WCQs in 1965.
After losing against Uruguay in the injury time, Colombia will be motivated to recuperate against their fans. Juan Quintero, who scored in the previous outing, will be looking forward to increasing his tally, while Jhon Duran and Luis Diaz will cause problems for the guests.
We anticipate that the hosts will have the advantage in possession from the first minute, targeted at scoring a fast goal. Therefore, our pick for this match is Colombia to win.
Both Colombia and Ecuador are mostly defence-oriented teams that prefer to build their gameplay from the back. In addition, they have organized midfielders and it’s hard to breach their barriers.
If we take a look at the previous six H2H matches, five ended with less than three goals scored. Ecuador will sit actively in the defence, waiting for their chances on counterattacks, while Colombia will be delighted with a minimal advantage.
Judging by the places on the table, the clubs are a step away from advancing to the World Cup group stage. The draw will be a successful outcome for Ecuador, while Colombia will also be prudent in their attacking actions. A high-scoring affair is less likely and our second pick for this match is under 2.5 goals.
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