Colombia has only lost twice in its last 30 matches, with both losses coming against Argentina. On both occasions, Argentina won 1-0, thanks to goals from Lautaro Martínez. Colombia had opportunities in both encounters but failed to convert their chances.
In the last Copa America, Nestor Lorenzo’s team had the second-best defense in the tournament, trailing only Argentina. In their ongoing 2026 World Cup qualifying campaign, Colombia has conceded just four goals, ranking them third in defensive records.
In attack, Colombia plays in a 4-3-1-2 formation, with James Rodríguez as the classic playmaker, wearing the number ten shirt and being responsible for creating dangerous chances. James was the best player in the last Copa America with six assists.
In their most recent World Cup qualifier against Peru on September 7th, Colombia struggled to create chances until James was introduced early in the second half. His presence immediately lifted the team, leading to the equalizer in the 82nd minute. It was apparent that Colombia found it difficult to break down the Peruvian defense without their key playmaker.
In general, though, Nestor Lorenzo’s team attacked in a structured manner, intelligently filling the area between the lines and half-spaces. Despite remaining undefeated in the qualifiers, four of their matches have ended in draws, placing them third in the standings.
Lionel Messi is still recovering from an ankle ligament injury he suffered on July 15th during the Copa America final. He is preparing to return to action and is likely to be back for the upcoming matches in October.
In the meantime, Argentina will have to build their game without Messi, who is unlikely to be at his peak for the 2026 World Cup.
In the match against Chile, Lionel Scaloni’s team dominated by playing with a well-organized defense, strong counter-pressing, and intelligent positioning when transitioning to a defensive formation.
In attack, with a 3-2-5 formation, the Argentinians effectively overloaded the central zone outside the opponent’s penalty area, creating combinations and quick maneuvers.
Argentina played without a defensive midfielder, utilizing three versatile players who successfully dominated the midfield. Enzo Fernández, Alexis Mac Allister, and Rodrigo de Paul collaborated excellently with Lautaro Martínez and Julián Álvarez, creating unpredictable collective maneuvers that frequently caught opponents off guard.
Defensively, the trio of Lisandro Martínez, Cristian Romero, and Nicolás Otamendi provided stability, maintaining complete control of their penalty area. It’s no surprise that Argentina conceded the fewest goals in the Copa America 2024 and is the leader in the fewest goals conceded in the WC 2026 qualifiers.
Bet hereColombia will be highly motivated to seek revenge against the Argentinians for their defeat in the 2024 Copa America final, especially with this match being played at the Metropolitano stadium in Barranquilla. Playing in front of their home fans, the hosts will undoubtedly be fully charged.
As we have already noted, Colombia is on an outstanding unbeaten streak in regular time, which has now lasted for 29 matches. It is worth noting that Lautaro Martínez scored the winning goal in the Copa America final only in extra time, in what was an evenly matched contest.
Argentina, on the other hand, has won 31 out of their last 33 matches, with the exception of two losses: against Saudi Arabia in the first round of the 2022 World Cup and against Uruguay away in the qualification for the next World Cup.
Uruguay’s organized and aggressive defense showed that even Argentina, with Lionel Messi, can be stopped by a well-structured side that capitalizes on their opportunities.
Therefore, it is reasonable to expect that the hosts of the match will at least not lose to the Argentinians.
Julián Álvarez had a fantastic match against Chili and demonstrated his outstanding physical condition.
Playing alongside Lautaro Martínez, Álvarez has the freedom to maneuver and find good positions to take shots from different areas. Given his current form, there’s a strong chance he will be able to take more than one shot in the match against Colombia.
However, it’s important to consider that Colombia’s defense is highly organized. Therefore, this approach is risky, and it’s quite possible that the hosts of the match will be able to neutralize the Argentine forwards by effectively maintaining a high defensive line.
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