| Odds via 22Bet | |
| Chelsea vs Brighton | 28.09.24, 3:00 PM GMT+1 |
| Chelsea odds | 1.72 |
| Brighton odds | 4.26 |
| Draw | 4.22 |
| Over\Under | Total 2,5: 1.45/2.41 |
A top-four finish could be a realistic target for Chelsea in Enzo Maresca’s first campaign in charge. The Blues have started the campaign in impressive fashion, winning three of their last four since their opening-day defeat against Man City.
It could be argued that their best performance so far came in their latest league outing when they beat West Ham 3-0 at the London Stadium. Nicolas Jackson was in excellent form in the capital, netting twice.
The Blues have clicked into gear in the final third in recent weeks, recording 50 shots and scoring ten times from open play. But, their open nature, evidenced by the 49 shots that they have allowed this term, could be a concern before making a Chelsea vs Brighton prediction.
| Recent Form (all competitions, most recent first) | W-W-D-L-W |
| Key Players to Watch | Cole Palmer |
| Team Strengths | Excellent selection of wide players |
| Team Weaknesses | Too open defensively when the ball is turned over |
| Injuries and Suspensions | Malo Gusto (Hamstring) Reece James (Hamstring) Romeo Lavia (Hamstring) |
Fabian Hürzeler has overseen an unbeaten start to the season for Brighton. However, they have dropped to seventh in the standings after playing out three successive draws in the Premier League.
The latest of those was an entertaining 2-2 at home against Nottingham Forest. Draws have been incredibly popular for Brighton in the top-flight, as they have played out ties in over 33% of their Premier League matches.
Brighton’s xG’s indicate that this will be an entertaining clash on Saturday. The Seagulls have an xG of 7.85, while they also have an xGA of 4.85. A minor concern for the visitors is that they have been weak from set pieces this term.
| Recent Form (all competitions, most recent first) | D-W-D-D-W |
| Key Players to Watch | Danny Welbeck |
| Team Strengths | Exciting players in the forward areas |
| Team Weaknesses | Weak in quick turnovers |
| Injuries and Suspensions | James Milner (Hamstring) Matt O’Riley (Ankle) Solly March (Knee) |
It is worth noting before making a Chelsea vs Brighton prediction that the Blues have won their last two against the Seagulls. That has been an excellent response after falling to win in the previous five encounters between the sides. Four of the last nine matches between the sides have ended in draws.
While many younger players at Brighton have been stepping up this season, it’s the veteran Danny Welbeck who has truly shone, demonstrating that experience and skill remain invaluable.
In just five Premier League games this term, Welbeck has scored three goals and provided one assist. His track record against Chelsea is particularly notable, with four goals already to his name in previous encounters.
It will be a fascinating tactical battle between two of the most inexperienced Premier League managers this weekend.
Both Chelsea and Brighton have adopted 4-2-3-1 formations this season, with both looking to dominate the ball but also ensuring that they have pace in the wide areas to counter quickly. Unlike other matches this weekend, this fixture could be won by the side that breaks more efficiently.
All the evidence suggests that this should be a thrilling encounter at Stamford Bridge on Saturday. Therefore, our main Chelsea vs Brighton prediction will be on over 3.5 goals. This has been a winning selection in two of the last four matches between the sides, with an average of 3.66 goals being scored across the last three.
With both teams looking to break quickly on Saturday, it could be worth siding with Enzo Fernandez picking up a card.
The Argentina international was carded seven times in the Premier League last term, and he will likely be tasked with ensuring Brighton don’t run at the Chelsea defense this weekend.
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