An early match in Serie A is set for Tuesday, and a home win could be among the popular selections when making a Cagliari vs Bologna prediction. The hosts have won two of their last four, and have lost just once across the same period.
A slow build up has suited Cagliari this season, scoring two goals and registering an xG of 1.75. Conversely, they have been vulnerable against teams that have pressed through the lines quicker, conceding ten shots on goal and an xGA of 2.30.
Worryingly, Cagliari have started and finished games slowly, conceding one goal and 28 shots on target in the first 15 minutes, and conceding three goals in the final 14 matches of Serie A matches. Antoine Makoumbou will be unavailable due to suspension this week, but the midfielder could be replaced by the returning Jakub Jankto.
Bologna have been a challenging team to beat this season, but draws have stagnated their progression after being held in four of their last five. However, they have the joint-best defensive record of any side in the bottom nine places in Serie A.
Bologna have been an excellent team in the second half this season, scoring five of their ten goals in the 50th minute or later. After making a vulnerable start to the season with a 4-3-3 formation, Bologna have shifted to a 4-2-3-1 system.
This has been a positive decision, scoring three goals from an xG of 4.98. Defensively, the decision has been vindicated after conceding 14 shots on goal, conceding three times from an xGA of 1.42.
However, the injury problems are mounting up, with Lewis Ferguson, Martin Erlic, and Michel Aebischer all out until November. But the Italian side are well stocked in the midfield positions, with Rem Freuler and Nikola Moro set to continue in the defensive midfield area.
Bet hereBologna will be well-rested following the postponement of their match against AC Milan last Saturday.
The visitors have been in excellent form defensively, with the two defensive midfielders playing a key role in protecting the back line. Bologna have conceded just nine goals from an xGA of 8.95 from open play this season, but they could get more joy against a Cagliari side that have struggled to click in the final third.
An interesting alternative betting angle on Tuesday could be Bologna to win to nil.
Both Cagliari and Bologna have excellent disciplinary records. The home side could be a good value angle to register under 3.5 yellows this week after failing to pick up four or more yellows in 67% of their matches this season.
Their well-structured approach is a key factor in this regard, as they are very rarely out of position, meaning that tactical fouls are kept to a minimum.
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