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Brighton vs Chelsea | Friday, February 14, 2025, 21:00 GMT+1 |
Brighton odds | 2.93 |
Chelsea odds | 2.25 |
Draw | 3.8 |
Over\Under | Total 2.5: 1.48/2.51 |
Brighton enters this fixture on the back of a morale-boosting 2-1 victory over Chelsea in the FA Cup fourth round. This win was particularly significant as it ended their winless streak at home since November.
Manager Fabian Hürzeler praised his team’s character, especially after their humiliating 7-0 defeat to Nottingham Forest the previous week.
However, Brighton are grappling with several injury concerns. Key players such as Jason Steele (shoulder), Igor Julio (hamstring), Ferdi Kadıoğlu (toe), James Milner (thigh), and Solly March (muscle) are sidelined. Additionally, Mats Wieffer (thigh), Carlos Baleba, Yasin Ayari (both muscle), and Pervis Estupiñán (unspecified) are doubtful and will be assessed ahead of kickoff.
Under Hürzeler, Brighton has emphasized a possession-based approach, often building from the back. The full-backs, particularly Tariq Lamptey, play a crucial role in providing width and supporting the attack.
Kaoru Mitoma has been instrumental in the final third, utilizing his dribbling skills to create opportunities. The midfield duo of Yasin Ayari and Billy Gilmour offers a blend of experience and youthful energy, facilitating transitions and maintaining control.
In their recent FA Cup victory over Chelsea, Brighton demonstrated their strength by overturning an early deficit. Georginio Rutter’s equalizer stemmed from a well-executed cross by Joel Veltman. Mitoma’s winning goal was a joy to watch as he delicately chipped the ball over the advancing goalkeeper.
Brighton predicted lineup vs Chelsea (4-2-3-1): Verbruggen; Veltman, Dunk, Cashin, Lamptey; O’Riley, Hinshelwood; Adingra, Pedro, Mitoma; Welbeck.
Chelsea’s recent form has been inconsistent. They secured a 2-1 victory against West Ham United in the Premier League but were subsequently eliminated from the FA Cup by Brighton. Injuries have further compounded their challenges.
Long-term absentees Wesley Fofana, Benoit Badiashile, and Romeo Lavia remain out. Omari Kellyman is still injured, and Mykhailo Mudryk serves a suspension due to a positive doping test.
However, there is optimism surrounding the return of Nicolas Jackson, who could be fit to lead the line after Christopher Nkunku played as a number nine in their recent FA Cup match against Brighton. Reece James, who missed the FA Cup tie as a planned absence, is expected to return and could feature at right-back.
Despite the lengthy injury list, Maresca still possesses a squad capable of securing a positive result.
Chelsea’s tactical setup under Maresca has been fluid, often shifting between a 4-3-3 and a 4-2-3-1 formation. The midfield trio of Moisés Caicedo, Enzo Fernández, and Cole Palmer provides a balance of defensive solidity and creativity. However, the absence of key strikers has forced Maresca to adapt, with Christopher Nkunku being deployed in a more advanced role.
In their recent matches, Chelsea have struggled with converting possession into goals. Despite creating numerous chances, the lack of a clinical finisher has been evident. Cole Palmer has been a bright spot, consistently creating opportunities, but the team’s overall finishing has been subpar.
Chelsea predicted lineup vs Brighton (4-2-3-1): Jorgensen; Gusto, Chalobah, Colwill, Cucurella; Caicedo, Fernandez; Neto, Palmer, Sancho; Jackson.
Bet hereBrighton’s recent Premier League form has been patchy, with a mix of wins and draws interspersed with defeats. Their home form, however, remains relatively strong.
Chelsea, on the other hand, have been equally inconsistent away from home, struggling to maintain clean sheets and often relying on individual brilliance to secure points.
Considering both teams’ injury situations and tactical approaches, this match is likely to be a closely contested affair. Brighton’s home advantage and attacking style could pose problems for Chelsea’s defense, but Chelsea’s potential return of Jackson and tactical flexibility might give them an edge.
Anyway, it is very difficult to predict the outcome of this match in favor of one of the teams. But considering the defensive problems of both teams, in my opinion, the option of both teams scoring seems plausible.
In recent meetings between these teams, early goals have been a common occurrence. The September 2024 match saw a total of six first-half goals, with Chelsea leading 4-2 at halftime.
Similarly, the FA Cup match in February 2025 featured two goals within the first 12 minutes, resulting in a 1-1 scoreline at the break.
Considering these patterns, it is plausible to anticipate at least one goal being scored in the first half of the upcoming match. Both teams have shown tendencies to engage in high-tempo play early on, leading to early scoring opportunities.
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