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Brighton Hove & Albion vs Liverpool FC | October 30, 20:30 GMT+1 |
Brighton Hove & Albion odds | 3.32 |
Liverpool FC odds | 2.03 |
Draw | 3.82 |
Over\Under | Total 2,5: 1.6/2.336 |
Brighton had an eventful summer, marked by Roberto De Zerbi’s departure. He was replaced by a relatively unknown figure, as Brighton hired Swiss coach Fabian Hürzeler. He spent two years with St. Pauli, successfully guiding them to the 1. Bundesliga before joining the Seagulls.
The transfer summer also saw the departures of key players like Pascal Gross, Billy Gilmour, and Deniz Undav, creating gaps filled by newcomers Mats Wieffer, Brajan Gruda, and Matt O’Riley.
Brighton’s sole defeat came against Chelsea in a 4-1 loss. However, overall, the team has dealt well with top teams this season, as they defeated Manchester United (2-1), Tottenham (3-2), and Newcastle (0-1), while the Seagulls played out a draw against Arsenal (1-1).
For the upcoming match against Liverpool in the fourth round of the EFL Cup, Hürzeler will have to improvise a bit as the team will be without Matt O’Riley, Yankuba Minteh, and Solly March, who are all injured.
Recent Form | DLWWD |
Key Player to Watch | Kaoru Mitoma |
Team Strengths | Strong mixture of talents, cohesive play and build-up. |
Team Weaknesses | Lack of defensive solidity at the back |
Key injuries and suspensions. | Matt O’Riley, Yankuba Minteh, and Solly March |
Jürgen Klopp’s departure left many worried fans as the future seemed uncertain. Arne Slot, who had never managed a club of that stature, replaced Klopp, leaving many doubtful about his appointment.
A few months later, it’s safe to say that the Dutchman convinced a majority of the fans. Liverpool is currently second in the Premier League, with 22 points and only one point behind Manchester City. The Reds have only been defeated once (a 0-1 loss against Nottingham Forest) and have won seven games while drawing one.
Liverpool signed two new players – Giorgio Mamardashvili (goalkeeper) and Federicho Chiesa (left-winger). Mamardashvili remains on loan at Valencia, while Chiesa has only featured on two occasions since his arrival, leaving Liverpool’s squad largely intact compared to last season.
Liverpool drew against Arsenal last weekend (2-2), with goals from Mohamed Salah and Virgil Van Dijk, while Mikel Merino and Bukayo Saka scored for the Gunners in a game that could have gone both ways.
Slot faces no injury worries other than the absence of Harvey Elliott, who broke his foot.
Recent Form | WWWWD |
Key Player to Watch | Cody Gakpo |
Team Strengths | High-quality forwards, strong technical base, excellent athleticism, strategic advantages created by coach Arne Slot |
Team Weaknesses | Lack of dribbler except Salah, lack of stability in the midfield during the transitions, lack of squad depth |
Key injuries and suspensions. | Harvey Elliott |
The two teams have a rich history, having faced each other 40 times. Liverpool has dominated the tie until now with 21 victories, while Brighton only won seven times. The two teams also drew twelve times.
Liverpool won the most recent encounter (2-1), in March 2024. Danny Welbeck scored in the second minute, but Mohamed Salah and Luis Diaz helped Liverpool to secure the victory at Anfield.
Brighton last won in January 2024, in the EFL Cup (2-1). Harvey Elliott scored the first goal for Liverpool in the 30th minute, but Lewis Dunk equalised nine minutes later. Mitoma scored in the additional time (90+2), allowing Brighton to win the match.
It might sound like a cliché, but it’s almost impossible not to mention him – Brighton’s Kaoru Mitoma. While not the league’s top scorer, he is a consistent threat with his dribbling expertise and ability to create space for his teammates.
The Japanese star is famous for having released his own research on dribbling and how to overtake opponents. Although he has struggled with fitness in the past, his presence is noticeable. He keeps dropping outstanding performances and provides free space for his teammates when defenders try to stop him.
For Liverpool, both Cody Gakpo and Mohamed Salah are crucial. Gakpo has thrived under Slot, while Salah continues to be the team’s creative force with six goals and five assists.
He’s among the players who age like fine wine. Salah doesn’t seem to get any older and continues to be Liverpool’s main source of creation in the final third.
Liverpool is probably one of the toughest teams to play against. The Reds combine a mix of talent, different age groups and have one of the best data analytics teams in the world. Liverpoolare careful with their transfers, which means it’s a rare sight to see new signings fail.
Liverpool’s transitions will likely center around Gakpo, Salah, and Mac Allister, who have become vital in Slot’s system. Since Slot’s arrival, Konstantinos Tsimikas also grew in importance as he fits well into Slot’s plans as an inverted left-back.
Brighton, on the other hand, are unlikely to sit back, a tendency that has made it difficult for them to keep a clean sheet. They often look to play through Mitoma and Welbeck, a tactic that they will also likely employ against Liverpool.
Bet hereOutscoring opponents has worked for Brighton so far. At the same time, it’s unsustainable to maintain the current attacking figures in the long-term, especially against top teams.
Although Brighton’s tactics work against most teams, they won’t work well against an opponent that fields Mohamed Salah and Darwin Núñez, who are likely to force Brighton back. Brighton’s defensive issues aren’t anything new – they have been an unaddressed problem stemming from the De Zerbi era.
Liverpool, on the other hand, is a diverse team, with Virgil Van Dijk and Konaté forming one of the best defensive partnerships in the Premier League.
Despite lacking a true defensive midfielder, Liverpool’s versatility in midfield has allowed them to dominate, particularly when opponents don’t prioritize stability in that area.
While spectators remain fixated on Salah’s expertise, Darwin Núñez is likely to find himself free while defenders will hunt his teammates down.
Núñez only scored one goal in six appearances, but the Uruguayan is a menace in the box. Playing against a team that doesn’t sit back and lacks the defensive players to keep a clean sheet is the perfect opportunity for Núñez to score more goals to improve his confidence.
His positioning and physique make him a difficult forward to mark for short defenders, and he is likely to appear on the scoresheet against Brighton’s leaky defence in this EFL Cup clash.
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