Odds via 22bet | |
Brest vs PSG | February 1, 2025. 17:00 GMT+1 |
Brest odds | 6.15 |
PSG odds | 1.48 |
Draw | 4.64 |
Over\Under 2.5 | 1.58/2.39 |
The season is beginning to look brighter for Brest, as last season’s surprise package come into this round after winning each of their last three. Just as they were last season, Brest have been clinical in the final third in 2024-25, scoring 18 goals from an xG of 14.84.
Meanwhile, they have defended professionally, restricting rivals to just 23 goals from an xGA of 28.84. Brest have been at their best this season when playing on the counter-attack, showcased by their average share of 48% possession in Ligue 1 this season.
However, it would be a concern how open they have been defensively, keeping clean sheets in just 21% of their matches this term. The hosts will be without a couple of key defenders this weekend, with Jordan Amavi, Massadio Haidara, and Julien Le Cardinal all ruled out due to respective issues.
Brest predicted lineup vs PSG: (4-2-3-1): Bizot; Lala, Chardonnet, Coulibaly, Zogbe; Camara, Magnetti; Del Castillo, Faivre, Sima; Ajorque.
PSG have been at their dominant best in France this season, and Luis Enrique’s possession-based side could move 13 points clear at the summit this weekend.
The Parisians have avoided defeat in all 19 matches this season, and they have won four of their last five. Despite being the highest scorers in France, an xG of 52.08 indicates that they have been wasteful in the final third after netting 42 times from open play.
Still, their defensive record deserves plenty of respect after allowing just eight goals from an open play xGA of 14.05. Khvicha Kvaratskhelia made an instant impact on his PSG debut last week after registering an assist for Ousmane Dembele, and the new-look PSG forward line looks hard to oppose. Enrique will have Presnel Kimpembe back in contention to start this weekend, but Gabriel Moscardo remains out.
PSG predicted lineup vs Brest: (4-3-3): Donnarumma; Zaire-Emery, Marquinhos, Kimpembe, Mendes; Doue, Ruiz, Vitinha; Dembele, Ramos, Kvaratskhelia.
Bet hereThe Parisians look like a standout Brest vs PSG prediction this weekend. Brest’s style of play can be fairly passive when they come up against the better teams in France, as they offer little quality in the final third of the field.
That is reflected in the stat that they have failed to score in 21% of their fixtures this season. Meanwhile, Brest have recorded wins in just 8% of their 36 Ligue 1 matches against PSG, which is an obvious trend worth following this weekend.
Despite being a solid selection, it could be worth siding with PSG edging over the line against Brest this weekend. The Parisians have dropped points in four of their five matches after a Champions League round, with Brest avoiding defeat in six of their seven after a European fixture.
Meanwhile, Brest matches this season have seen them concede an average of just 1.11 in home matches, meaning that the Parisians will likely need to be professional to get over the line.
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia’s influence was immediate last weekend, and his connection with Ousmane Dembele already looks solid. The two could combine once again this weekend for a match-winning moment, with the preference being for the former to open his account for his new side.
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