Borussia Dortmund is one of the most controversial teams in the Bundesliga this season.
Nuri Şahin’s squad has won all of their home games but lost all their away matches except for two: a 3-0 victory against Brugge and a 0-0 draw with Werder in the second round.
Dortmund faced tough opponents on the road: they lost to Stuttgart (1-5), Union Berlin (1-2), Augsburg (1-2), Real Madrid (2-5), and Wolfsburg (0-1). However, at home, Borussia achieved impressive victories over Heidenheim (4-2), Bochum (4-2), Celtic (7-1), St. Pauli (2-1), and Eintracht (2-0) in the first round.
This disparity in home and away performances can largely be attributed to the level of opponents faced. When Die Borussen encountered more organized pressing and high-intensity attacks, Şahin’s team struggled significantly.
The defenders frequently made errors in positioning, and Gregor Kobel often conceded straightforward goals.
In addition to weak defensive organization, there have also been issues with attacking variety, often relying on crosses into the opponent’s penalty area.
Jamie Gittens and Donyell Malen have excelled on the flanks, attempting to deliver balls into the penalty area for Serhou Guirassy. While effective in certain matches, this strategy has frequently failed away from home.
It is quite interesting to see how organized Dortmund will be when they play at home against Leipzig, currently second in the table. This match represents the first serious challenge for Dortmund in the last two months at Signal Iduna Park.
However, Dortmund will be without Karim Adeyemi, Giovanni Reyna, and Niklas Süle for this match. Julian Ryerson’s participation is still uncertain.
Bet hereRB Leipzig have accumulated 20 points in the first eight matches and currently share the top position in the Bundesliga table with Bayern München. However, in terms of expected goals, Leipzig ranks sixth, primarily due to a high number of expected goals conceded.
However, Marco Rose’s team has only faced top-eight Bundesliga teams at the beginning of the season, playing against Bayer Leverkusen (3-2) and Union Berlin (0-0). In other matches, Leipzig has competed against lower-ranked teams.
In the Champions League, however, they struggled against opponents such as Atlético Madrid, Juventus, and Liverpool, losing with an aggregate score of 3-6.
Leipzig’s hallmark this season has been their powerful counter-pressing and fast vertical attacks, which have often brought success. However, under Rose, they tend to make defensive errors, particularly when forced to fall back into a low block.
In each match, Leipzig allows a series of dangerous shots on goal and could have conceded significantly more goals in the Bundesliga.
For this match, Leipzig will be without David Raum, Nicolas Seiwald, and Xavi Simons, who is the team’s biggest loss for this match.
In the last eight Bundesliga matches between these teams, there has been an average of more than two goals scored. Last season, Leipzig secured victories in both fixtures, winning 3-2 away and 4-1 at home. This season, anything could happen as both teams prioritize their attacking play.
However, both clubs are facing defensive challenges. Given this context, it is reasonable to expect that the match will feature more than two goals.
It’s hard to imagine either team failing to score at least one goal in this match. Dortmund will be energized by their fans and highly motivated to defeat one of their main rivals in the race for a top-five position in the Bundesliga.
On the other hand, Leipzig is likely to exploit Dortmund’s defensive issues, which have been a recurring issue throughout the season.
Even without the injured Karim Adeyemi and Xavi Simons, we can still expect both teams to find the net.
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