| Odds via 22bet | |
| Borussia Dortmund vs Barcelona | Tuesday, April 16, 2025, 21:00 GMT+1 |
| Borussia Dortmund odds | 3.9 |
| Barcelona odds | 1.816 |
| Draw | 4.06 |
| Over\Under | Total 2.5: 1.39/2.82 |
| Betting Bonus | Up to 122 $/€ |
Borussia find themselves in a difficult position after the 4-0 defeat against Barcelona in the first leg. The team had only the Champions League left to fight for, given the struggles in the domestic league.
Dortmund sit 8th in the Bundesliga, drawing with Bayern Munich last weekend (2-2). They claimed a 1-0 lead in the first minutes of the second half through Maximilian Beier, despite being dominated by Bayern Munich throughout the game.
Borussia dropped the lead 20 minutes later, and reacted by scoring a second through Waldemar Anton. However, complacency in the final minutes by Dortmund’s defense led to a 2-2 draw.
BVB’s focus is likely to remain on the Bundesliga. They stand three points behind sixth place, which is the last spot to qualify for the European competitions.
Borussia Dortmund predicted line-up vs Barcelona (4-2-3-1): Kobel; Bensebaini, Anton, Can, Ryerson; Chukwuemeka, Nmecha; Adeyemi, Brandt, Gittens; Guirassy.
| Key Player to Watch | Guirassy |
| Team Strengths | Clear cultural identity in a counter-attacking style, established tactical balance |
| Team Weaknesses | Lack of diversity of forwards, key injuries in defense, lack of balance in quality on all fronts |
| Key injuries and suspensions. | Cole Campbell, Filippo Mane, Marcel Sabitzer, Nico Schlotterbeck |
Barcelona secured a 1-0 victory over Leganés, thanks to an own goal by Jorge Sáenz. The Catalans dominated the match, but were unable to take advantage of their positional advantage in the final third.
It was a must-win game for Barcelona in the context of the title race. The success allowed them to keep a four-point lead over Real Madrid in La Liga. The only downside of the win is that Barca will be without left-back Alejandro Balde for the next three weeks. He left the pitch injured in the 41st minute.
Fatigue has been the major factor behind underwhelming performance from the forwards in the final third in recent weeks. For instance, Lamine Yamal has been incapable of replicating his usual energy on the pitch. Meanwhile, fans have started requesting that Hansi Flick start rotating in the game against Dortmund, given the 4-0 lead.
The injury to Balde means that Gerard Martin will replace him in the coming weeks, despite being regularly criticised by Barcelona fans for his lack of offensive initiative.
In the attack, the injury of Dani Olmo led to the renaissance of Fermin López, whose performances in the final third have led Flick to praise him. Although Olmo is set to return against Dortmund, his absence means a healthy competition between the two midfielders.
Barcelona predicted line-up vs Borussia Dortmund(4-2-3-1): Szczęsny; Martin, Martinez, Cubarsí, Koundé; Pedri, de Jong; Raphinha, Olmo, Yamal; Lewandowski.
| Key Player to Watch | Raphinha |
| Team Strengths | Defined identity, offside trap, high-line pressing, squad depth, mental resilience, attacking mentality |
| Team Weaknesses | Key injuries preventing an ideal season, lack of alternatives in the full-backs, risky approach off the ball |
| Key injuries and suspensions. | Alejandro Balde, Marc Bernal, Marc Casado, Marc-André Ter Stegen |
While both sides have regularly participated in the Champions League, they have rarely met in the competition. The two teams have only played each other three times before this double-legged meeting, the first time back in 2019.
Barcelona struggled to make an impact in Germany with a 0-0 draw. However, they claimed a 3-1 victory at the Camp Nou, thanks to goals from Lionel Messi, Luis Suárez, and Antoine Griezmann.
These two squads didn’t meet until earlier this season. The new Champions League format paired Barca with Borussia in the group stage. Unlike previous matches, this one was marked by imprecision and an eventful encounter, ending 3-2 in favour of the Catalans.
Barcelona struggled to dominate due to Dortmund’s rapid counterattacks, but their forwards saved the day as they converted their advantage.
Borussia are in a tight position, and Guirassy has been the team’s principal source of goals throughout the season. However, he’s struggled to make an impact in the last weeks.
Guirassy had a muted performance against Bayern, but it’s likely the side will rely on his excellence in Dortmund on Wednesday. If there is any player who has demonstrated the ability to score several hat-tricks, it’s Guirassy. We may see a plan focused on providing him with chances in the penalty box, especially with Barcelona’s risky highline.
Given the forwards ‘ fatigue, the visitors are likely to rely on Dani Olmo as the troublemaker in the final third. His presence has always been felt because he accelerates Barcelona’s attacks. These have become more powerful with the absence of Dortmund’s Schlotterbeck, who is out for the season due to injury.
With both teams preferring to outscore their opposition instead of focusing on improving their defense, this match-up is likely to be as chaotic as Barca’s 3-2 victory earlier this season.
With a 4-0 win, Barcelona can allow themselves to take fewer risks. On the other hand, Flick will have to choose wisely with a loaded schedule ahead.
Martínez is one yellow card away from a semi-final suspension, while Araújo has failed to convince throughout the season. Flick will also have to readjust his team following the injury of Balde, whose presence was key to stretching backlines on the left flank.
Bet hereInjuries have turned the match-up around, with Schlotterbeck’s absence affecting Dortmund’s backline. He acted as the leader of the backline, making it difficult to replace him.
However, the injury to Balde and the question marks around Martínez’s presence make it a difficult gamble for Flick, too. A 4-0 lead should be enough, but Flick must decide who to rest or keep on the pitch, while still playing for victory.
Barcelona are expected to win due to Guirassy’s bad form. Raphinha and Lewandowski are continuing to put up exceptional numbers.
Although Raphinha did not score in Barca’s previous match, he’s been one of the most impactful players in the Champions League. His runs in behind have become more powerful with the absence of Schlotterbeck, arguably Dortmund’s most intelligent defender.
He may not be the best dribbler, but he repeatedly forces defenders to keep an eye on him at all times.
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