Borussia Dortmund welcome Hamburger SV to Signal Iduna Park for their Bundesliga opener, with last season’s runners-up looking for an immediate response after losing the Supercup to Bayern.

Dortmund’s Attack Can Cover Serious Defensive Absences

Dortmund enter the opener after a 2-1 Supercup defeat to Bayern, but Niko Kovač’s team had previously scored five goals across friendlies against Arsenal and Roma. The concern is defence. Nico Schlotterbeck remains out with an ankle injury, Emre Can has a cruciate ligament issue, and Mussa Kaba is also out.

Serhou Guirassy remains the focal point against an HSV defence missing Warmed Omari. The Guinean forward scored 17 Bundesliga goals last season. Dortmund have also won their last four home H2Hs over Hamburg in that tournament.

Borussia Dortmund predicted lineup vs Hamburger SV (3-4-2-1): Kobel; Anton, Mané, Svensson; Couto, Sabitzer, Nmecha, Ryerson; Adeyemi, Beier; Guirassy.

Hamburg Have Enough Threat to Test a Weakened Defence

Hamburg prepared for the Bundesliga by beating Verl 3-0 in the DFB-Pokal, with Albert Grønbæk scoring twice and 16-year-old Louis Lemke adding the third. HSV scored in all five of their matches immediately before the league opener, including twice against Toulouse and Lille, giving them a route into the game against Dortmund’s depleted back line.

Merlin Polzin travels without several defenders. Warmed Omari has a shoulder injury, while Miro Muheim and Alexander Røssing-Lelesiit are also unavailable.

Hamburger SV predicted lineup vs Borussia Dortmund (3-4-2-1): Heuer Fernandes; Torunarigha, Vuskovic, Elfadli; Gocholeishvili, Capaldo, Remberg, Dompé; Grønbæk, Königsdörffer; Glatzel.

Borussia Dortmund vs Hamburger SV Prediction

Safe Tip: Borussia Dortmund to Win
Odds: 1.30 (22Bet)
Correct score prediction: Borussia Dortmund 3-1 Hamburger SV
22Bet Booking Code: LR4JF

Key stats:

  • Dortmund have won their last four Bundesliga home H2Hs against Hamburg.
  • They won this fixture 3-2 in March 2026.
  • HSV scored in their final five matches before this Bundesliga opener.

Dortmund finished second last season and return to an 81,365-capacity Signal Iduna Park, where they beat Hamburg 3-2 in March. Dortmund have also won four successive league H2Hs in front of their fans, scoring 11 goals across those victories.

HSV’s defensive absences strengthen the selection, with Omari, Muheim and Røssing-Lelesiit all unavailable. Odds of 1.30 suggest roughly a 77% likelihood, and Dortmund’s home record in this matchup supports an 81% confidence rating.

Borussia Dortmund vs Hamburger SV Prediction, Value Tip

Value Tip: GG - Yes
Odds: 1.78 (22Bet)
22Bet Booking Code: DDLJF

BTTS at 1.78 implies a 56% probability, but Dortmund’s defensive situation makes the price attractive. Schlotterbeck and Can are definitely out, and Bensebaini remains doubtful. Dortmund also conceded twice against Roma and twice against Bayern in their two most recent matches.

Hamburg arrive after scoring three against Verl, while last season’s two H2Hs both produced goals for HSV: 1-1 in Hamburg and 3-2 in Dortmund. The market is arguably underrating Dortmund’s weakened defence, making a 3-1 home victory a strong fit for both selections.

Verdict: Borussia Dortmund to Win (1.30) - Borussia Dortmund 3-1 Hamburger SV.