Bayer Leverkusen continues to impress this season, and managed to secure a draw against Bayern München in the last round of the Bundesliga. A commendable achievement given the strength of their opponents this season.
In that match, Die Werkself demonstrated their ability to maintain a solid defense in a low block, effectively thwarting dangerous chances on their goal, even against a formidable attacking line like Bayern’s.
Following that, Xabi Alonso’s team secured their second win in the Champions League, defeating Milan 1-0 on their home turf. Leverkusen easily outplayed the Italian club’s pressing and forced the visitors into a deep defensive stance.
Bayer’s varied attacks created plenty of dangerous chances to score at least one goal. The wingbacks played a particularly important role, helping their teammates create a 5v4 numerical advantage against the Milan defense line.
Though they could have conceded during a heavy spell of Milan attacks in the second half, Leverkusen’s swift counterattacks posed constant threats, nearly adding to their lead late in the game.
Overall, despite the defensive problems that regularly arise, Bayer shows a very powerful attacking game and produces excellent results both in the Bundesliga and Champions League.
Holstein Kiel, after entering the Bundesliga, have adopted a very open attacking style of play, allowing them to create several dangerous moments in each match. However, problems with finishing prevent Marcel Rapp’s team from regularly scoring goals.
But most of all, Holstein Kiel suffers from very poor defensive play. Conceding 17 goals in five matches is the worst result in the Bundesliga. Moreover, only Hoffenheim and Bochum have worse expected goals conceded statistics.
These defensive frailties pose a serious threat to Kiel’s hopes of staying in the Bundesliga, as their backline’s inability to cope with the higher level of competition makes survival an uphill battle.
Bet hereIt is highly likely that Xabi Alonso will rotate his squad for the match against Holstein Kiel, especially after the last two gruelling matches against Bayern München and Milan.
However, this is unlikely to save the guests from conceding several goals, as Leverkusen has a well-established attacking system that can produce goals, regardless of key player absences.
In my opinion, Bayer Leverkusen will confidently defeat Holstein Kiel, and more than two goals will be scored in the match.
The difference in the level of play between the teams at the moment is so huge that it is quite possible to expect the home team to win both in the first half and in the second half.
Furthermore, Leverkusen has a great opportunity to improve their goal difference and get closer to Bayern München’s stats.
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