Predictions

Atlético de Madrid vs RB Leipzig Preview, Prediction, Odds, Betting Tips 19.09.2024

  • Date and Time: 19.09.2024, 21:00 GMT+1
  • Venue: Civitas Metropolitano, Madrid, Spain
Odds via 22bet
Atlético de Madrid vs RB Leipzig September 19, 21:00 GMT+1
Atlético de Madrid odds 1.752
RB Leipzig odds 4.28
Draw 4
Over\Under Total 2,5: 1.67/2.205

Atlético de Madrid vs RB Leipzig Preview

Atlético de Madrid

Atlético de Madrid remains undefeated in La Liga as they welcome RB Leipzig in the Metropolitano for their 2024/2025 Champions League campaign opener.

Diego Simeone’s side is coming off a comfortable 3-0 win against Valencia, marking their third win in five matches this season. Previous victories against Girona (3-0) and Athletic Club have further solidified their domestic form.

Only Villarreal (2-2) and Espanyol (0-0) have managed to take points off Atlético this season. However, European competition often presents a different challenge.

Historically, Atlético has had difficulties maintaining strong domestic performances in the Champions League. With RB Leipzig visiting, this fixture could mirror their previous high-scoring encounters against German opposition, such as last season’s clash with Borussia Dortmund.

Recent Form DWDWW
Key Player to Watch Conor Gallagher
Team Strengths Transitions, pressing
Team Weaknesses Lack of depth in the defence, a lack of wingers up front (they played in a double striker formation)
Key injuries and suspensions. Pablo Barrios, Reinildo

RB Leipzig

RB Leipzig’s summer was marked by significant movements, most notably the departure of star midfielder Dani Olmo to FC Barcelona for €55M after his stellar summer, including winning EURO 2024 with Spain.  

His exit leaves a void, but Leipzig managed to retain key talent like Xavi Simons, who extended his loan from PSG. Simons hit double figures in both goals and assists in the 23/24 season, making him one of the most important offensive players for the German side.

Leipzig will also rely heavily on their striking duo, Lois Openda and Benjamin Šeško, who will lead the team up front. 

Leipzig remain undefeated in the Bundesliga, having won two out of their three matches. This includes a 1-0 victory over Bochum and a 3-2 win against Bayer Leverkusen. However, a surprising 0-0 draw with Union Berlin showed some vulnerability in Leipzig’s attack, which could serve as a humbling reminder before their trip to Madrid.

Unfortunately for Leipzig, they will have to visit Madrid without key midfielders Xaver Schlager and Assan Ouedraogo due to injuries. Kevin Kampl and Nicolas Seiwald are expected to replace the midfield pair.

Recent Form WWWD
Key Player to Watch Xavi Simons
Team Strengths Transitions, counter-press, offensive power, ball-striking
Team Weaknesses Lack of midfield balance following injuries, lack of physically apt defenders.
Key injuries and suspensions. Xaver Schlager, Assan Ouedraogo

Atlético de Madrid vs RB Leipzig Head-to-Head Statistics

The two teams faced each other only once in official competitions, which occurred during the 2019/2020 Champions League knockout stages.

In that one-legged quarter-final tie, RB Leipzig emerged victorious with a 2-1 win over Atlético de Madrid. Dani Olmo and Tyler Adams scored for the Germans, while João Félix scored for Atlético de Madrid. 

This victory was historic for RB Leipzig, as it marked their first appearance in the Champions League semi-finals.

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Atlético de Madrid vs RB Leipzig Player Focus

For Atlético de Madrid, the key player to watch is Conor Gallagher, who has quickly become a fan favorite since his summer transfer from Chelsea. 

While most expected Julian Álvarez to take the spotlight, Gallagher’s relentless pressing, tackling ability, and defensive contributions have made him an invaluable asset for Los Rojiblancos.

The absence of Pablo Barrios only made Gallagher’s presence more important, positioning him as the engine in the midfield.

On Leipzig’s side, Lois Openda comes to mind. While Benjamin could also be mentioned, Openda’s striking seems to be a more important asset for the Germans. 

His sharp instincts in front of goal make him a constant danger, especially when paired with Xavi Simons, who will look to create chances from the left wing. 

Atlético de Madrid vs RB Leipzig Tactical Analysis

While both teams may set up a double-striker formation, Atlético is expected to field a five-man backline, with Robin Le Normand, Jose-Maria Gimenez, and Cesar Azpilicueta as the core of the defense. Three midfielders are expected to start, likely Koke, Rodrigo De Paul, and Conor Gallagher.

This would be interesting as RB Leipzig will likely field a four-man midfield, composed of Simons, Kampl, Seiwald and Haidara. Exploiting space behind left-back David Raum would be something for Marcos Llorente and De Paul will try to capitalize on, although Atlético could also break through the midfield given the lack of balance due to injuries in Leipzig’s midfield. 

Leipzig will attempt to break through Atlético’s compact defense by utilizing Simons to create space and feed balls into the box for the two strikers.

Atlético’s central defenders, particularly Le Normand, will need to remain disciplined and avoid unnecessary fouls in the box as Leipzig looks to use their double-striker system to create overloads in the penalty area.

Atlético de Madrid vs RB Leipzig Prediction

  • Football pick: Atlético de Madrid to win
  • Odds: 1.75 (22Bet)
  • Score prediction: Atlético de Madrid 2-1 RB Leipzig

While RB Leipzig won their only previous encounter, Atlético de Madrid seems better positioned to take control of this upcoming match. 

German and Spanish teams often produce high-energy, chaotic encounters, but Atlético’s more balanced squad gives them an edge in a Champions League setting.  

Atlético will likely capitalize on their defensive solidity and the passionate home crowd at the Metropolitano, while Leipzig might struggle against Atlético’s pressing and organized defensive line. Expect Atlético to secure a solid result in this one.

Atlético de Madrid vs RB Leipzig Betting Tip

  • Football Pick: Atlético de Madrid to score and RB Leipzig to score
  • Odds: 3.26 (22Bet)

Keeping a clean sheet isn’t an Atlético de Madrid thing anymore, and their desire to take the initiative at home could expose some vulnerabilities in defense.

Errors from Le Normand and Marcos Llorente aren’t unlikely, which could open opportunities for RB Leipzig’s dynamic attackers, Xavi Simons and Lois Openda, to exploit space and find the net. Given the attacking potential on both sides, I think we’ll see both teams scoring in this match.

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