Predictions

Atlético Madrid vs Barcelona Preview, Prediction, Odds, Betting Tips 16.03.2025

  • Date and Time: Sunday, March 16, 2025, 21:00 GMT+1
  • Venue: Riyadh Air Metropolitano, Madrid, Spain
Odds via 22bet
Atlético Madrid vs Barcelona Sunday, March 16, 2025, 21:00 GMT+1
Atlético Madrid odds 3.1
Barcelona odds 2.184
Draw 3.66
Over\Under Total 2.5: 1.53/2.375
Betting Bonus Up to 122 $/€

Atlético Madrid vs Barcelona Preview and Team News

Atlético Madrid News

Atlético’s loaded schedule had a noticeable impact on the team’s performances. They fell to Getafe in La Liga and Real Madrid in the Champions League, drew with Barcelona (Copa del Rey), Celta Vigo and Real Madrid in LaLiga. 

Atlético once again preferred to use a low block against Real Madrid, which seemed to cause issues for their opponents. This was the result of them blocking the central lanes. Although it may seem like a good plan, its drawbacks are clear. 

Date Competition Home Team Score Away Team Outcome
12/03/2025 UEFA Champions League Atlético Madrid 1-0* Real Madrid Win*
09/03/2025 La Liga Getafe 2-1 Atlético Madrid Loss
04/03/2025 UEFA Champions League Real Madrid 2-1 Atlético Madrid Loss
01/03/2025 La Liga Atlético Madrid 1-0 Athletic Bilbao Win
25/02/2025 Copa del Rey Barcelona 4-4* Atlético Madrid Draw*
22/02/2025 La Liga Valencia 0-3 Atlético Madrid Win

The Spanish club had few opportunities and when they did, they blew them. The mental and physical exhaustion was noticeable, a result of the loaded schedule and limited rotation options.

Julián Álvarez, the squad’s top contributor in recent months, had his penalty disallowed after VAR detected a double-touch. Otherwise, he remained one of the team’s top performers, even when Atlético struggled to come up with solutions in the final third. 

The derby was not without harmful incidences including racist chants from Atlético ultras calling Vinicius a chimpanzee. Additionally, the police were forced to intervene as several hundred Madrid fans tried to enter the stadium without tickets.

Ángel Correa is suspended for the match as he insulted the referee against Getafe, calling him ‘hijo de puta’, which translates to “son of a bitch” in english. Koke is still recovering and may be called up, but he’s unlikely to be risked in such a high-intensity fixture. 

Atlético Madrid predicted line-up vs Barcelona (4-4-2): Oblak; Galán, Le Normand, Giménez, Molina; Lino, De Paul, Llorente, Simeone; Álvarez, Sorloth.

Key Player to Watch Sorloth
Team Strengths Rapid to defend, athletic team in counter-attacks, established philosophy and squad depth
Team Weaknesses Lack of offensive alternative to counter-attacks, lack of mental resilience when pushed in their own box, lack of creativity in the midfield
Key injuries and suspensions. Correa (suspension), Koke (injury)

Barcelona Team News

The guests are top of the league, making the clash against Atlético even more significant. They’ll face opponents focusing on LaLiga, while Barcelona are still competing in the Champions League.

They qualified for the Champions League quarter-finals with a 3-1 win against Benfica, despite the suspension of Pau Cubarsí. They’ll face Dortmund next, who eliminated LOSC Lille. The match was an open-ended game, but the genius of Lamine Yamal and Raphinha was enough to secure a victory.

Following investigations into the ‘Negreira’ case—a scandal accusing Barcelona of attempting to influence referee committee chief Negreira in exchange for favorable refereeing—Sandro Rosell and Josep Bartomeu will appear in court as the accused parties.

Date Competition Home Team Score Away Team Outcome
11/03/2025 UEFA Champions League FC Barcelona 3-1 Benfica Win
05/03/2025 UEFA Champions League Benfica 0-1 FC Barcelona Win
02/03/2025 La Liga FC Barcelona 4-0 Real Sociedad Win
25/02/2025 Copa del Rey FC Barcelona 4-4 Atlético Madrid Draw*
22/02/2025 La Liga Las Palmas 0-2 FC Barcelona Win
17/02/2025 La Liga FC Barcelona 1-0 Rayo Vallecano Win

According to Relevo, the visitors would like to propose the postponed Osasuna-Barcelona game take place on May 21st, which would turn out to be between the before-last and last matchday of the season. 

Marc-André Ter Stegen, Marc Bernal, and Andreas Christensen remain sidelined due to injury.

Barcelona predicted line-up vs Atlético Madrid (4-2-3-1): Szczęsny, Balde, Cubarsí, Araújo, Koundé; Pedri, de Jong; Raphinha, Dani Olmo, Lamine Yamal; Lewandowski.

Key Player to Watch Dani Olmo
Team Strengths Aggressive offside trap, dangerous counter-attacks, established philosophy, confident team able to complete any comeback if needed
Team Weaknesses Risky offside trap, overreliance on some players
Key injuries and suspensions. Marc André Ter Stegen, Andreas Christensen, Marc Bernal

Atlético Madrid vs Barcelona Head-to-Head Statistics

These teams have played each other 57 times, 30 of which Barcelona came out victorious. Atlético Madrid won 15 of the encounters, while both shared points on 15 of the occasions. 

They last played each other less than a month ago, in the Copa del Rey semi-finals. The home squad were 2-0 up by the first half, but Barcelona came back to the score of 3-2 before the match ended in a 4-4 draw. Both sides struggled to find stability in the game.

The hosts last defeated the visiting club in December, winning 2-1 despite being dominated. However, Barcelona were sloppy in the final third, which temporarily allowed Atlético to claim the leader spot in LaLiga.

Atlético Madrid vs Barcelona Player Focus

Atlético Madrid’s most in-form talent is undoubtedly Julián Álvarez, who’s been scoring both as a substitute and as a starter. His flexibility as a player has seen him rise above Antoine Griezmann as the star forward, which only a few players have managed to achieve. 

His runs off the ball keep causing trouble for opponents’ defences. Although his penalty was disallowed against Real Madrid, he remains the team’s most reliable forward.

As for Barcelona, Dani Olmo comes to my mind as an obvious threat. He’s been successful playing between enemy lines, accelerating counter-attack, and splitting defenders. Olmo likes to evolve around Zone 14 where he can find himself in advantageous shooting positions. 

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Atlético Madrid vs Barcelona Analysis

Recent encounters have rarely been dull, with the 4-4 draw in the Copa del Rey confirming that Atlético can go toe-to-toe with Europe’s best. However, Barcelona are also the highest-scoring team in La Liga, reaching 71 goals in 26 matches. 

While the hosts tend to use a low block against Real Madrid, they rarely do so against the visitors. The assault, composed of Raphinha and Yamal in the wings, has all the tools to force Atlético out of their comfort zone. 

However, wing-based counter-attacks are likely to be difficult for Barcelona to handle, especially down the left-wing. This is where Balde and Martin have struggled to be impactful on the defensive end.

Atlético Madrid vs Barcelona Prediction

  • Prediction: Barcelona to win
  • Odds: 2.18 (22Bet)
  • Score Prediction: Atlético Madrid 0-1 Barcelona

Barcelona will come with the advantage that Atlético Madrid will be demoralized and tired after their tense 120 minutes with Real Madrid. 

The guests’ Champions League match against Benfica was one day earlier, and undoubtedly less exhausting. As a result, they’re likely to come to the game sharper.

Furthermore, Barcelona were warned in the 4-4 draw that their defensive mistakes are the only factor that can prevent them from winning. In the last two encounters against Atlético, they’ve played well but lacked defensive precision to secure a victory.

This is likely to change, considering Barcelona have won all of their last five matches.

Atlético Madrid vs Barcelona Betting Tip

  • Pick: Dani Olmo to score
  • Odds: 3.25 (22Bet)

Overloading central areas against a three-at-the-back while having Yamal and Raphinha on the wings seems incredibly easy on paper. Olmo’s strength has always been to accelerate the team’s counter-attacks through the center. 

It only helps that Atlético can usually only initiate their attacks from a counter-attack, leaving Dani alone in Zone 14 after successfully implementing the off-side trap. 

Disclaimer: The content provided on this page, including all football predictions, odds, and related information, is for entertainment and informational purposes only. While we strive to ensure accuracy and timeliness, we do not guarantee the correctness or reliability of any predictions, data, or information presented here. 

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Position Team P W D L Goals For Goals Against Goal Difference Points
1 FC Barcelona 26 18 3 5 71 25 +46 57
2 Real Madrid 27 17 6 4 57 26 +31 57
3 Atlético Madrid 27 16 8 3 44 18 +26 56
4 Athletic Bilbao 27 13 10 4 45 24 +21 49
5 Villarreal 26 12 8 6 48 36 +12 44
6 Real Betis 27 11 8 8 35 33 +2 41
7 Mallorca 27 10 7 10 26 33 -7 37
8 Rayo Vallecano 27 9 9 9 29 29 0 36
9 Celta Vigo 27 10 6 11 40 41 -1 36
10 Sevilla 27 9 9 9 32 36 -4 36
11 Real Sociedad 27 10 4 13 23 28 -5 34
12 Getafe 27 8 9 10 23 22 +1 33
13 Girona 27 9 6 12 35 40 -5 33
14 Osasuna 26 7 12 7 32 37 -5 33
15 Espanyol 26 7 7 12 25 37 -12 28
16 Valencia 27 6 9 12 30 45 -15 27
17 Leganes 27 6 9 12 24 40 -16 27
18 Alaves 27 6 8 13 30 40 -10 26
19 Las Palmas 27 6 6 15 30 45 -15 24
20 Real Valladolid 27 4 4 19 18 62 -44 16
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