Odds via 22bet | |
Aston Villa vs Juventus | November 27, 20:00 GMT+1 |
Aston Villa odds | 2.27 |
Juventus odds | 3.17 |
Draw | 3.34 |
Over\Under | Total 2,5: 2.11/1.73 |
Aston Villa is going through a rough patch and have failed to win in their last six matches, including four defeats.
The Villans’ attacking inefficiency was on full display during their away game against Brugge in the Champions League, which resulted in a 0-1 defeat.
However, in matches against Bournemouth, Tottenham, and Crystal Palace, Villa created numerous dangerous opportunities but failed to apply the finishing touch. Even away against Liverpool, the Villans could have scored at least once, but Ollie Watkins and his teammates squandered several opportunities to score.
Aston Villa consistently executes quick vertical attacks with well-timed passes behind defensive lines. This tactic leads to many dangerous chances, but the lack of clinical finishing diminishes its effectiveness.
Ross Barkley has been a standout for Villa this season. Barkley was highly effective as a substitute against Bournemouth and Crystal Palace and scored two important goals. The 30-year-old midfielder still has the ability to make a difference with his dribbling skills and composed finishing.
However, Villa’s main problem lies not only in their poor execution but also in their defensive play. Their transitional play from attack to defense has been a reoccurring weakness, which has resulted in 12 goals conceded in their last six matches. The last time Unai Emery’s squad kept a clean sheet was on October 22 against Bologna.
Their recent defensive record – the worst in the Premier League over the last four games – has seen fans worried about what is to come.
Although most of Villa’s key players are fit and available, the squad appears to be suffering from physical and mental fatigue. This is likely a byproduct of competing on multiple fronts and adapting to the demands of playing two high-intensity matches per week.
As they prepare to host Juventus, Villa face a significant risk of conceding goals to the Italian club’s quick and skillful forwards, who are desperate for three points.
Recent Form | DLLLL |
Key Players to Watch | Ollie Watkins, Youri Tielemans, Morgan Rogers |
Team Strengths | Fast vertical attacks |
Team Weaknesses | Vulnerable flanks of the defence |
Key Injuries and suspensions | Boubacar Kamara, Ezri Konsa (doubtful) Amadou Onana (doubtful) |
Juventus have been consistent this season and suffered only one loss – a surprising 0-1 defeat at home to Stuttgart. Aside from this setback, Thiago Motta’s side has consistently picked up points points in all their other matches.
Juve alternate between two distinct playing styles: a fast-paced attacking approach and a very cautious, defense-first strategy.
This tactical versatility was evident in two contrasting matches against Inter Milan and AC Milan. The match against Inter was an impressive goal fest that ended in a thrilling 4-4 draw. Conversely, the game against AC Milan was a tactical stalemate, almost devoid of attacking spark, resulting in a dull 0-0 draw.
Juventus’s inconsistent performance can be partly attributed to an ongoing injury crisis. However, even when they played against Napoli in late September with their full starting lineup, the match lacked any dangerous moments and ended in another goalless draw.
In my opinion, the main reason for these varying results is that Juventus only play riskier, attacking football in select matches. When they adopt a more aggressive approach, their vertical passing in the final third is key to creating chances.
In matches like the recent one against AC Milan, the Bianconeri rely more on horizontal passes as a preparatory strategy, only occasionally pushing forward to attack the opponent’s penalty area with significant numbers.
Their game plan also heavily depends on their opponent’s tactics. For instance, Inter adopted a proactive attacking approach from the beginning, allowing Juventus to execute counterattacks effectively. In contrast, both Napoli and Milan opted to sit deep in a low defensive block against Motta’s team, resulting in a lack of dangerous chances.
Considering the league standings and the fact that Juventus risks falling out of the playoff zone, it is likely that the Italian club will be motivated to play in an attacking style.
Recent Form | DWDWD |
Key Player to Watch | Kenan Yıldız, Francisco Conceição |
Team Strengths | Efficient team in possession, talented individuals |
Team Weaknesses | Lack of balance in transitions |
Key Injuries and Suspensions | Juan Cabal, Nico Gonzalez, Arkadiusz Milik, Dušan Vlahović (doubtful), Weston McKennie (doubtful), Douglas Luiz (doubtful). |
This will be the first official match in Champions League history between these teams.
Bet hereOllie Watkins continues to be the main star of Aston Villa’s attack, but his form in front of goal has dipped this season. Watkins has scored only two goals in the last nine matches, despite having opportunities to score more.
Earlier in the season, Jhon Durán helped offset Watkins’ finishing issues by coming off the bench and scoring crucial goals. However, Durán has recently failed to find the net and had minimal impact on Villa’s games.
For Juventus, Francisco Conceição and Kenan Yıldız are the players that can make the difference. Both players possess silky dribbling skills and the ability to create dangerous chances. This often forces defenders into uncomfortable one-on-one situations.
Juventus is facing a challenge with both central forwards, Arkadiusz Milik and Dušan Vlahović, sidelined due to injury. As a result, the Bianconeri are likely to adopt a 4-4-2 formation, as seen against AC Milan.
Aston Villa are expected to mirror Juventus with either a 4-4-2 or 4-2-3-1 formation. This setup may lead to numerous individual duels on the pitch, requiring both coaches to devise innovative tactical moves to generate scoring opportunities.
Aston Villa may not have won in their last six matches, but a Champions League night at Villa Park against a top club like Juventus is sure to motivate their players.
Under Unai Emery, Villa confidently defeated Bayern Munich (1-0) and Bologna (2-0) in their previous two matches at home, demonstrating strong focus in both defense and attack.
We can expect something similar in the upcoming match against Juventus, especially since the Italian club will be missing several key players, including former Villa player Douglas Luiz.
Therefore, it would be reasonable to predict a victory for Aston Villa with odds of 2.27. On the other hand, a safer option would be to bet that the hosts will not lose.
Even if Juventus tries to play cautiously by minimizing risks and denying Villa possession, Villa are still capable of applying intense pressure, forcing their opponents to make mistakes and lose the ball.
Moreover, Villa has the ability to create numerous dangerous opportunities through counterattacks and can outshoot their opponent at least in terms of total shots on goal.
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