The Unai Emery momentum at Aston Villa has shown no sign of stopping this season, and a second straight win could guide them to the Premier League summit on Saturday.
Villa’s tried-and-tested 4-2-3-1 formation once again worked to perfection against Fulham last weekend, with Ollie Watkins netting after growing calls for Jhon Duran to be handed a start.
The defensive midfield duo of Youri Tielemans and Amadou Onana has been key to Villa’s progression this term, giving forward players like Morgan Rogers and Jacob Ramsey the platform that they require to break the lines. Interestingly, the xG of 12.21 shows Villa’s efficiency in the final third, as they have scored 12 times from 70 goals.
Jaden Philogene will be suspended this weekend, but it’s unlikely that the winger would have featured from the start. Tyrone Mings could be named on the bench for the first time since early 2024 after recovering from an ACL injury.
Andoni Iraola deserves credit for the job that he is doing at Bournemouth, and they bounced back to winning ways with a fine 2-0 success over Arsenal last Saturday.
Defensively they were incredibly solid against the Gunners, limiting the title contenders to an xG of just 0.74. That follows their xGA pattern this term of 9.13 from open play, conceding eight goals.
The Cherries will likely follow the same blueprint as their win over Arsenal this weekend, with a 4-2-3-1 formation deployed to match up to Villa. Marcus Tavernier is key to the system, as he will drop in to make a midfield three with Adam Scott and Lewis Cook when Bournemouth don’t have the ball. That tweak out of possession will be a key consideration when making a football pick this weekend.
Much of Bournemouth’s progression this term can be put down to the fact that Iraola has had a fully-fit squad throughout the campaign. However, Adam Smith could be re-called due to his defensive abilities in the full-back position at Villa Park.
Villa’s edgy draw against Manchester United a few weeks ago was a huge indicator that the West Midlands club are struggling to contain high adrenaline nights at Villa Park when returning to domestic action.
But, the fact that the team have maintained their excellent momentum is credit to Emery and the backroom staff.
Bournemouth may have edged past Arsenal last weekend, but they have lost on their last two trips to Aston Villa. The (-1) handicap was covered by Villa in both those wins, but the Cherries have been far more reliable in defence this term to suggest that the West Midlands side look capable of winning by two or more goals.
Villa’s depth has been evident already this term, and Ross Barkley and Jhon Duran could both be handed starts this weekend. That quality in reserve is the difference between the two sides that are both at full strength.
Bet hereWith Watkins likely to lead the line against Bologna in midweek, Duran may need to wait until Saturday to get a much-deserved start. The striker has netted four in eight this season, which is remarkable finishing ability considering his xG of 2.58. His natural finishing skills could prove to be the difference this weekend.
Our expert soccer predictions also like the chances of under 2.5 goals (2.34) this weekend. Three of Bournemouth’s last five have seen less than three goals scored, while Villa played out a drab 0-0 against Man United following a high-adrenaline night in the Champions League in the previous round of European matches.
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