| Odds via 22Bet | |
| Arsenal vs Paris Saint-Germain | Tuesday, April 29, 2025, 21:00 GMT+1 |
| Arsenal odds | 2.12 |
| Paris Saint-Germain odds | 3.42 |
| Draw | 3.42 |
| Over\Under | Total 2.5: 1.9/1.9 |
| Betting Bonus | Up to 122 $/€ |
Arsenal have waited sixteen years for another Champions League semi-final under the red lights, and Tuesday night finally delivers it.
They secured their place by achieving a 5-1 aggregate victory over Real Madrid. At the Bernabéu on April 16, late goals from Gabriel Martinelli and Declan Rice transformed a balanced match. It went from being tied at 1-1 to a 2-1 win, silencing both the Spanish champions and their supporters.
Domestically, Arsenal kept momentum with a 4-0 rout of Ipswich on April 20. Then, they saw a roller-coaster 2-2 draw against Crystal Palace three nights later. The latter result irritated Arteta more for lapses in concentration than the lost points.
Thomas Partey is suspended after the tactical booking that stopped a Madrid counter in stoppage time. This forces Arteta to rebuild his midfield balance without the Ghanaian’s press-resistance.
Jorginho still nurses a chest injury, and Ben White continues treatment on knee irritation. The latest club bulletin lists both as “highly unlikely” starters, alongside long-term absentees Gabriel Jesus and Kai Havertz. The medical staff are more optimistic about Mikel Merino and Riccardo Calafiori, who trained fully on Monday.
Expect David Raya behind a back four of Jurrien Timber, William Saliba, Jakub Kiwior, and 19-year-old Myles Lewis-Skelly. Arteta sees their composure on the ball as central to pinning Paris Saint-Germain’s wingers high.
Declan Rice will anchor, flanked by Ødegaard and (if passed fit) Merin. Saka and Martinelli should flank Leandro Trossard, whose false-nine movement was decisive in Madrid and again versus Ipswich.
Arsenal predicted lineup vs Paris Saint-Germain (4-3-3): Raya; Timber, Saliba, Kiwior, Lewis-Skelly; Odegaard, Partey, Rice; Saka, Merino, Martinelli.
| Key Players to Watch | Declan Rice, Bukayo Saka, Mikel Merino |
| Team Strengths | High-quality defence in mid-block, swift vertical attacks |
| Team Weaknesses | Lack of a goal-scoring centre forward |
| Key injuries and suspensions | Gabriel Jesus, Gabriel Magalhaes, Kai Havertz, Thomas Partey (suspended) |
Paris Saint-Germain squeezed past Aston Villa 5-4 on aggregate. A sparkling 3-1 first-leg comeback in Paris on April 9 was nearly wasted when they lost the return 3-2 at Villa Park. They conceded two set-piece goals inside eight second-half minutes before regrouping to survive.
That narrow escape was followed by a 1-1 draw at Nantes, which set a French record of 39 straight away games unbeaten. After that, it was a 3-1 home defeat to Nice last Friday. Their first domestic loss of the campaign and a night when Marcin Bulka made twelve saves while Paris Saint-Germain’s press fell to pieces once Nice broke lines early.
Luis Enrique has a clean bill of health. It’s the first time this Spring that every senior outfield player is available. Lucas Hernández’s ACL rupture last season was long resolved in the Winter window with the arrival of Ecuadorian stopper Willian Pacho. He now partners Marquinhos at centre-back.
Enrique’s only dilemma is which hybrid winger starts opposite Khvicha Kvaratskhelia. Bradley Barcola is pressing to displace the inconsistent Désiré Doué.
Otherwise, Gianluigi Donnarumma, Achraf Hakimi, Nuno Mendes, Vitinha, João Neves, and Fabián Ruiz are inked in, with Ousmane Dembélé in a false nine role.
Paris Saint-Germain predicted lineup vs Arsenal (4-2-3-1): Donnarumma; Hakimi, Marquinhos, Pacho, Mendes; Ruiz, Vitinh; Neves, Doue, Dembele; Kvaratskhelia.
| Key Players to Watch | Khvicha Kvaratskhelia, Ousmane Dembele |
| Team Strengths | Strong attacking line, great pressing and counterpressing |
| Team Weaknesses | Sometimes, there’s a numerical disadvantage in the centre of the field |
| Key injuries and suspensions | No injuries |
These clubs have shared only six competitive meetings.
Arsenal edged the 1994 Cup-Winners’ Cup semi-final 2-1 on aggregate, while the 2016 group-stage produced twin draws.
Their most recent duel came in this season’s league phase in October, when Arsenal’s high press and quick wide combinations earned a deserved 2-0 win at the Emirates. It was a game that forced Enrique to abandon his experimental box midfield for the current 4-3-3.
That precedent gives the hosts a genuine belief that the stylistic match-up favours them on home turf.
Declan Rice has become the axis of Arteta’s 3-2-5. He added penalty-box punch to dominance between the lines in both matches against Real Madrid. With Partey suspended, Rice’s ability to absorb Vitinha’s press and still switch play early towards Saka shapes Arsenal’s rhythm.
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia`s solo surge and cut-back for Ousmane Dembélé against Aston Villa illustrated the threat. One slip by Timber or Saliba invites that same whipping change of pace inside the box.
Arteta’s blueprint remains the 2-3-5 in settled possession: Timber inverts next to Rice, Lewis-Skelly tucks into the double pivot when Arsenal lose width on the far side. This transforms the structure into a compact diamond that stops counterattacks at birth.
Without Partey, Rice must scan wider angles. Merino’s vertical passing from the left-half space compensates, allowing Ødegaard to stay higher and combine quickly with Saka.
Expect Arteta to stagger Rice deeper to shadow Dembélé’s inside drifts.
Paris Saint-Germain’s system is more fluid but less compact. Enrique asks Vitinha to drop between his centre-backs in the build-up, splitting Marquinhos and Pacho, so the full-backs fly high simultaneously.
That courageous shape produced forty shots against Villa in Paris but exposed acres behind Hakimi and Mendes when Villa set a front-two pressing trap. Arsenal’s front three press better and will force long passes that Saliba loves to win in the air.
The French champions’ rest-defence sometimes has troubles. Nice repeatedly broke the midfield line because Neves and Ruiz failed to cover wide overloads once Dembélé lost possession.
Arsenal will therefore target the space behind Mendes. Ødegaard often cues a third-man sprint. He bounces a wall pass off Rice, draws Vitinha up, and releases Salka down the right channel.
Saka then looks early for a cut-back into Merino, whose arrival timing resembles Ilkay Gündogan’s at peak City. If Merino isn’t fit, Kiwior slides left and Calafiori starts. Either way, the internal rotation aims to pin Kvaratskhelia in a defensive role he dislikes, reducing PSG’s primary ball progressor when they win it back.
When Paris Saint-Germain attack, Arsenal must navigate two pressing traps. First, Dembélé’s half-space-to-flank switch on his left foot that feeds Hakimi, overlapping. Second, Kvaratskhelia collapsing infield to combine with Neves.
Arteta will likely instruct Lewis-Skelly to hold a narrower lane than usual, allowing Saliba to step wide only once the Georgian receives on the touchline. Rice then sits in the “red zone” between Ruíz and Neves, preventing direct verticals.
Bet hereArsenal’s control of territory, the Emirates atmosphere, and PSG’s difficulty in protecting central and wide transitions point to a home team avoiding defeat.
Paris Saint-Germain’s direct speed in wide areas almost guarantees chances of their own.
Expect Arsenal to dominate shot volume, but not to shut the door entirely.
The hosts have scored in 10 of their last 11 events at the Emirates, averaging 2.1 per game this season.
Paris Saint-Germain’s travellers, meanwhile, boast an excellent road record. They’ve scored in every away fixture since August, except for three matches: against Arsenal (0-2), Bayern Munich (0-1) and Auxerre (0-0).
However, their form has been poor over the last fortnight, conceding three goals at Villa Park in the quarter-final return and another three to Nice on Friday.
Both clubs are ranked in the top four of their domestic xG tables and are filled with one-on-one specialists. Therefore, the likelihood of at least one goal from each side makes Both Teams to Score a good bet for Tuesday night.
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