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Arsenal vs Crystal Palace | Monday, April 14, 2025, 21:00 GMT+1 |
Arsenal odds | 1.42 |
Crystal Palace odds | 7.7 |
Draw | 4.56 |
Over\Under | Total 2.5: 1.86/1.94 |
Betting Bonus | Up to 122 $/€ |
Arsenal followed an energy‑sapping but glorious 2‑1 win in Madrid by labouring to league draws with Brentford and Everton before rediscovering fluency at Portman Road. Leandro Trossard’s double capped a swaggering display that stretched their unbeaten run in all competitions to eleven.
Against Ipswich, Arteta’s side continued to morph between a nominal 4‑3‑3 and a 3‑2‑5 formation when Lewis-Skelly inverted. This gave Arsenal a double pivot of Rice plus the Ukrainian and unleashed Ødegaard high in the right half‑space.
In the last two matches vs Ipswich and Real Madrid, Arsenal produced 15 high‑turnover shots and a combined xG of 4.1. These statistics emphasize how quickly the Gunners pounce when they trap opposition full‑backs.
However, the Everton and Brentford draws highlighted a lingering issue: once the first wave of the counterpressing is bypassed, Arsenal’s rest‑defence can be exposed down the flanks.
It`s likely that Arteta will keep Declan Rice slightly deeper to screen Eberechi Eze’s drifts inside.
Saka limped off at Portman Road after a reckless challenge. However, Arteta insists the winger has “no serious damage” and trained lightly on Monday. Saka is expected to start wearing extra padding.
Gabriel Magalhães (hamstring), Kai Havertz (hamstring), Gabriel Jesus (knee), and Takehiro Tomiyasu (knee) remain out, while Riccardo Calafiori’s knee problem keeps him sidelined.
Arsenal predicted lineup vs Crystal Palace (4-3-3): Raya; White, Saliba, Kiwior, Zinchenko; Rice, Partey, Ødegaard; Saka, Merino, Martinelli.
Crystal Palace’s month reads very differently from Arsenal’s. The nine‑man epic against Brighton was followed by being ripped apart 5‑2 at City, a 5‑0 drubbing at Newcastle, and a frustrating goalless draw with Bournemouth in which they mustered just 0.7 xG after Richards’ dismissal.
Glasner’s Crystal Palace press in a 5‑2‑3 shell out of possession, springing traps near the halfway line before attacking with narrow combinations between the two “tens.”
When it clicks, as in the frenetic win over Brighton, the system can suffocate opponents and generate quick counters.
However, the last fortnight has seen the emergence of structural cracks. Manchester City exploited the high wing‑backs, switching play early to isolate Muñoz and stretch the three centre‑backs. Additionally, Newcastle found joy pressing Palace’s build‑up and breaking through the half‑spaces.
Still, Palace remain lethal on set-pieces, which allowed them 12 of their 35 league goals, the second‑best in the Premier League. They also lead the league for set‑piece xG per shot.
Chadi Riad and Cheick Doucouré are long‑term knee absentees. Meanwhile, Chris Richards was sent off in the match against Bournemouth, meaning Jefferson Lacroix could step in again on the right of the back three.
The good news is that Marc Guéhi returned from suspension. This will likely provide a timely boost for a defence that was breached five times at St James’ Park.
Crystal Palace predicted lineup vs Arsenal (3-4-2-1): Henderson; Richards, Guéhi, Lacroix; Muñoz, Wharton, Hughes, Mitchell; Eze, Kámada; Mateta.
Bet hereArsenal’s box midfield should gain the upper hand against Crystal Palace’s double pivot. If Hughes gets drawn wide in pursuit of Ødegaard, Wharton will find himself isolated against Rice and Partey.
Muñoz tends to make runs beyond Eze, but leaving Martinelli open on the blind side could be risky. On the flip side, Zinchenko moving inward allows Mateta to exploit space in the channel behind him.
During set pieces, Palace fills the six-yard box with three blockers to free Guéhi, while Arsenal counters with Saliba marking him man-to-man and maintaining a zonal line at the edge. A single mistake could change the outcome of the game.
Crystal Palace made several defensive mistakes in their last two away games against Newcastle and Manchester City. Considering Arsenal’s current excellent form, Glasner’s team is unlikely to secure a positive result.
Crystal Palace’s pressing can still unsettle top teams, but their current defensive personnel shortage and lack of ball security could prove costly.
Arsenal rarely concedes multiple big chances at home and has the ability to shift Palace’s back three from side to side until gaps open up. If Arsenal scores early, it would force Glasner to abandon his balanced mid-block.
With Saka available and Trossard in excellent form, Arteta’s men seem ready for another victory that prevents Liverpool from celebrating just yet.
However, due to the preparation for the crucial Champions League matches against PSG, it is unlikely that Arsenal will maximize their intensity in this game and score many goals.
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