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Arsenal vs Chelsea | Sunday, March 16, 2025, 14:30 GMT+1 |
Arsenal odds | 1.79 |
Chelsea odds | 4.36 |
Draw | 3.76 |
Over\Under | Total 2.5: 1.89/1.90 |
Betting Bonus | Up to 122 $/€ |
Arsenal’s recent form has been a mixed bag. They secured a 9-3 aggregate victory over PSV Eindhoven in the Champions League, effectively sealing their spot in the quarter-finals. However, their home form has been less impressive, with a 1-1 draw against Manchester United highlighting their difficulties in the Premier League.
Arsenal`s players are currently dealing with a significant injury crisis. Key attackers Gabriel Martinelli and Bukayo Saka are sidelined with hamstring injuries, but both may return in early April.
Date | Competition | Home Team | Score | Away Team | Outcome |
12/03/2025 | UEFA Champions League | Arsenal FC | 2-2 | PSV Eindhoven | Draw |
09/03/2025 | Premier League | Manchester United | 1-1 | Arsenal FC | Draw |
04/03/2025 | UEFA Champions League | PSV Eindhoven | 1-7 | Arsenal FC | Win |
26/02/2025 | Premier League | Nottingham Forest | 0-0 | Arsenal FC | Draw |
22/02/2025 | Premier League | Arsenal FC | 0-1 | West Ham United | Loss |
15/02/2025 | Premier League | Leicester City | 0-2 | Arsenal FC | Win |
Additionally, Kai Havertz and Gabriel Jesus have been ruled out for the remainder of the season. This leaves manager Mikel Arteta with limited options upfront, relying on Leandro Trossard, Raheem Sterling, and the young Ethan Nwaneri to fill the attacking void.
Arsenal predicted lineup vs Chelsea (4-3-3): Raya; Timber, Saliba, Gabriel, Lewis-Skelly; Ødegaard, Partey, Rice; Nwaneri, Merino, Trossard.
Key Players to Watch | Martin Ødegaard, Leandro Trossard |
Team Strengths | Possession-based style, emphasizing control and structured build-up play. Set-pieces play |
Team Weaknesses | Injury-prone squad |
Key injuries and suspensions | Gabriel Jesus, Takehiro Tomiyasu, Kai Havertz, Bukayo Saka |
In recent fixtures, Chelsea’s performances have been a blend of varying results.
On February 22, they suffered a 2-1 defeat to Aston Villa, where defensive lapses were evident, particularly in handling Villa’s counter-attacks. However, later, Chelsea showed dominance in a 4-0 victory over Southampton, effectively exploiting wide areas and set-pieces. The match against Leicester City resulted in a narrow 1-0 win.
Date | Competition | Home Team | Score | Away Team | Outcome |
09/03/2025 | Premier League | Chelsea FC | 1-0 | Leicester City | Win |
06/03/2025 | UEFA Champions League | FC Copenhagen | 1-2 | Chelsea FC | Win |
25/02/2025 | Premier League | Chelsea FC | 4-0 | Southampton FC | Win |
22/02/2025 | Premier League | Aston Villa | 2-1 | Chelsea FC | Loss |
14/02/2025 | Premier League | Brighton & Hove Albion | 3-0 | Chelsea FC | Loss |
08/02/2025 | FA Cup | Brighton & Hove Albion | 2-1 | Chelsea FC | Loss |
Chelsea are dealing with several injury concerns. Nicolas Jackson suffered a hamstring injury during the match against West Ham on February 3 and is expected to be sidelined until April.
Similarly, forward Marc Guiu is also out with a muscle injury, with a targeted return post-international break. Noni Madueke sustained a hamstring injury against Brighton on February 14 and is anticipated to return after the international break as well.
On a positive note, midfielder Romeo Lavia has returned to full training and could feature in upcoming matches.
Chelsea predicted lineup vs Arsenal (4-2-3-1): Jorgensen; Gusto, Tosin, Colwill, Cucurella; James, Enzo, Caicedo; Neto, Palmer, Nkunku.
Key Players to Watch | Cole Palmer |
Team Strengths | Tactical flexibility |
Team Weaknesses | Unstable defensive play |
Key injuries and suspensions | Nicolas Jackson, Marc Guiu, Noni Madueke, Mykhailo Mudryk |
In their last ten Premier League encounters, Arsenal have dominated Chelsea, securing six victories, drawing three times, and suffering only one defeat.
This period has seen Arsenal outscore Chelsea with a goal difference of +11. Notably, on April 23, 2024, Arsenal achieved a commanding 5-0 victory at the Emirates Stadium.
Chelsea’s sole win in these fixtures came on August 22, 2021, with a 2-0 result at the Emirates. The most recent meeting on November 10, 2024, ended in a 1-1 draw at Stamford Bridge.
Bet hereWith the absence of key forwards, Leandro Trossard’s role becomes increasingly vital. His versatility allows him to operate across the front line, and his recent performances have demonstrated his ability to influence games both as a scorer and creator. Trossard’s movement and link-up play will be crucial in breaking down Chelsea’s defense.
Cole Palmer has emerged as a creative force under Maresca’s system. His vision and ability to exploit pockets of space make him a significant threat to Arsenal’s defensive setup.
Mikel Arteta has traditionally favored a possession-based style, emphasizing control and structured build-up play. However, without Bukayo Saka, this attacking system is much less effective. Moreover, Arsenal need a prolific goalscorer who can effectively convert all the possessions in the final third into goals.
The injury-induced absence of key attackers necessitates tactical adjustments. Deploying Mikel Merino as a false nine could offer fluidity in attack, allowing midfield runners to exploit spaces vacated by Chelsea’s defense.
Additionally, Arsenal’s proficiency in set-pieces, orchestrated by set-piece specialist Nicolas Jover, has been a notable strength, with over 20% of their goals this season coming from corners.
Maresca has utilized inverted full-backs to enhance midfield control, notably using left-back Marc Cucurella in a central role.
This tactic has helped Chelsea dominate possession and control the match tempo. In a recent innovation, Maresca deployed Reece James in midfield during Chelsea’s 2-1 win over Copenhagen, where he scored the opening goal, showcasing his versatility.
Although Chelsea secured a narrow 1-0 victory over Leicester City, some fans expressed skepticism about their possession-heavy style. Maresca urged supporters to appreciate the complexity of their play, highlighting the balance between tactical depth and fan expectations.
Even without several key attacking players, Arsenal is still a very strong team that have the highest number of goals scored in the set-pieces play and is also in the top five Premier League teams in terms of scored goals (52) and xG (55.86).
Moreover, they have the best defensive numbers in the Premier League, conceding only 24 goals (1st place) and having 26.73 xGA (1st place).
At the same time, Chelsea is in the 7th place regarding goals conceded (36) and 11th in terms of xGA (42.96). Although Chelsea are 2nd in goals scored (52) and 3rd in xG (58.85), that still doesn’t balance the team’s play enough.
Arsenal play more balanced and have good chances to exploit all of Chelsea`s defensive weaknesses. So, I think that Arsenal won`t lose in this match.
Considering the recent performances of both teams, betting on “Over 1.5 Total Goals” for this match appears to be a good choice.
Arsenal has seen over 1.5 goals in 75% of their matches this season, while Chelsea has exceeded this mark in 89% of their games. Furthermore, in their last 15 away matches, Chelsea’s games have featured over 1.5 goals in 14 instances.
These stats suggest a high likelihood of at least two goals being scored in the upcoming fixture.
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Position | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals For | Goals Against | Goal Difference | Points |
1 | Liverpool | 29 | 21 | 7 | 1 | 69 | 27 | +42 | 70 |
2 | Arsenal | 28 | 15 | 10 | 3 | 52 | 24 | +28 | 55 |
3 | Nottingham Forest | 28 | 15 | 6 | 7 | 45 | 33 | +12 | 51 |
4 | Chelsea | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 53 | 36 | +17 | 49 |
5 | Manchester City | 28 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 53 | 38 | +15 | 47 |
6 | Newcastle United | 28 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 47 | 38 | +9 | 47 |
7 | Brighton & Hove Albion | 28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 46 | 40 | +6 | 46 |
8 | Aston Villa | 29 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 45 |
9 | AFC Bournemouth | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 47 | 34 | +13 | 44 |
10 | Fulham | 28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 41 | 38 | +3 | 42 |
11 | Crystal Palace | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 36 | 33 | +3 | 39 |
12 | Brentford | 28 | 11 | 5 | 12 | 48 | 44 | +4 | 38 |
13 | Tottenham Hotspur | 28 | 10 | 4 | 14 | 55 | 41 | +14 | 34 |
14 | Manchester United | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 34 | 40 | -6 | 34 |
15 | Everton | 28 | 7 | 12 | 9 | 31 | 35 | -4 | 33 |
16 | West Ham United | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 32 | 48 | -16 | 33 |
17 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 38 | 57 | -19 | 23 |
18 | Ipswich Town | 28 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 26 | 58 | -32 | 17 |
19 | Leicester City | 28 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 25 | 62 | -37 | 17 |
20 | Southampton | 28 | 2 | 3 | 23 | 20 | 68 | -48 | 9 |
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