| Odds via 22bet | |
| Arsenal vs Aston Villa | January 18, 2025, 17:30 GMT+1 |
| Arsenal odds | 1.49 |
| Aston Villa odds | 6.5 |
| Draw | 4.36 |
| Over\Under | Total 2,5: 1.82/1.99 |
A poor start to 2025 was finally fixed in the last round match against Tottenham. Arsenal managed to snatch three points, however, we should not forget that Tottenham haven’t won five consecutive rounds in the Premier League. Despite trailing in the first half, the hosts came back and eventually won 2-1.
Mikel Arteta continues to adopt a rather pragmatic game. It’s not for nothing that Arsenal have the best defence in the PL. This is especially true on home soil, where they’ve conceded only seven goals in 10 events.
It’s official that Gabriel Jesus has torn the cruciate ligament in his left knee, ending the Brazilian’s season. There are also questions about the defence. While Calafiori continues to recover, 18-year-old Lewis-Skelly plays on the left flank.
| Recent Form | WLLDW |
| Key Players to Watch | Martin Odegaard, Leandro Trossard, Declan Rice |
| Team Strengths | Dangerous from corners |
| Team Weaknesses | Affected by injuries of key players |
| Injuries and Suspensions | Gabriel Jesus, Ethan Nwaneri, Bukayo Saka, Takehiro Tomiyasu, Ben White, Ricardo Calafiori (questionable) |
Their recent successes allowed Aston Villa to join the competition for the highest places. However, they’re facing two problems that prevent them from consistency. First, they don’t have enough resources to fight on several fronts. Secondly, their performance on the road is horrible. They lost 5 out of 10 away games this season.
There are some positive changes. This week, they managed to break a series of away failures, spoiling the return of David Moyes to Everton. In an equal match, Ollie Watkins grabbed his chance, and eventually, they won 1-0.
Unai Emery does not adjust the squad very often in the Premier League, and we don’t expect any notable changes in the starting lineup. However, it’s possible Jhon Duran might feature instead of Watkins.
| Recent Form | WWWDL |
| Key Players to Watch | Jhon Duran, Boubacar Kamara, Youri Tielemans |
| Team Strengths | Fast attacking players |
| Team Weaknesses | Frailties in the defence |
| Injuries and Suspensions | Ross Barkley, Diego Carlos, John McGinn, Pau Torres |
The statistics of the previous five head-to-head encounters show that these rivals are always competitive. Arsenal have won 3 times, while Aston Villa have ruled twice. The overall score during this period was 8-6 in favour of the Gunners.
The teams have already met this season. In August, in the 2nd round of the Premier League, the game ended with an away victory for Arsenal (2-0). In general, they have an advantage based on H2H stats.
Bet hereAfter the injuries of key players, Martin Odegaard has become an even more important figure for the club. The Norwegian is the catalyst of the assaults. Leandro Trossard’s goal against Tottenham proves his value on the team.
In the visitors’ squad, we can mention Jhon Duran. He was prolific from the bench and scored regularly for the club. In total, he’s already amassed 12 goals.
Arsenal’s preferred formation under Mikel Arteta has been 4-3-3. The head coach will likely stick to this strategy.
As for Aston Villa, Unai Emery has been using a 4-2-3-1 system. Similar to Arsenal, we don’t expect any changes in the upcoming clash.
Saturday’s encounter will be Arsenal’s sixth in 18 days. An extremely busy schedule has taken its toll on Mikel Arteta’s men. Meanwhile, Aston Villa will only play their fourth encounter.
The hosts’ fatigue will likely affect the reliability of their defence. We anticipate this match going according to the visitors’ plan. They’ll surely sting on counterattacks and create chances.
At least three goals have been recorded in 8 of the last 10 visitors’ games. We think that both clubs will choose an attacking strategy this weekend, and our first pick for the clash is over 2.5 goals.
Arsenal are struggling. A hard-fought win over Tottenham was a good sign, but even against crisis-ridden Tottenham, they had an xG of 1.42 compared to their opponents’ 0.83.
Aston Villa, in turn, have poor away statistics. However, during a congested fixture, they had to face top opponents. Mikel Arteta’s squad are among the top teams in the Premier League, but are not in their best shape.
If we take a look at the H2H stats, in the last four out of five trips to the Emirates, Aston Villa did not lose by more than one goal. We think that the visitors will put up resilience and our second pick is Aston Villa (+1.5) handicap.
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