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Anderlecht vs Hoffenheim | January 30, 2025, 21:00 PM GMT+1 |
Anderlecht odds | 2.17 |
Hoffenheim odds | 3.24 |
Draw | 3.50 |
Over\Under 2.5 | 1.68/2.19 |
The advantage coming into matchday eight is with Anderlecht. The Belgian side sits seventh in the current standings, and their place in the top eight will be assured with a home win against Hoffenheim.
Anderlecht have scored eleven goals in seven matches this season, but they’ll need to respond after a disappointing defeat against Viktoria Plzeň last Thursday.
The home side have been a possession-based team throughout this season, recording an average of 59% of the possession in their home matches. Their attacking output is much better at Lotto Park, scoring an average of 2.08 goals per game from an xG average of 1.68 compared to a goals per game average of 1.55 and an xG of 1.39 on the road.
The home side will be without the experienced duo of Jan Vertonghen and Colin Coosemans this weekend, as they are out due to respective ankle and hamstring injuries.
Anderlecht predicted lineup vs Hoffenheim: (3-4-3): Kikkenborg; Simic, Dendoncker, Augustinsson; Foket, Rits, Leoni, Maamar; Hazard, Goto, Angulo.
Hoffenheim’s home defeat against Tottenham last weekend means that the German side have now lost three of their last five matches in the Europa League. Their chances of progression appear slim, as they sit 28th and three points adrift of the qualifying places with an inferior goal difference.
The German team have looked to play on the counter-attack in their away matches this season, averaging just 44% of the possession in comparison to 53% of the ball in home fixtures. Hoffenheim have struggled in front of goal on the road, scoring an average of just 0.78 per game from an xG of 1.13.
They have also allowed more goals on the road, conceding an average of 1.67 and an xGA of 1.65. Continued injury issues have limited their progression this season, with seven first-team players out. Among those include Alexander Prass, Haris Tabakovic, and Christopher Lenz.
Hoffenheim predicted lineup vs Anderlecht: (4-2-3-1): Philipp; Gendrey, Chaves, Akpoguma, Jurasek; Stach, Becker; Orban, Kramaric, Bischof; Moerstedt.
Bet hereHoffenheim have been too passive in their matches on the road this season, and allowing Anderlecht to dominate the ball will play straight into the strength of the hosts this week.
The Belgian side have averaged higher shots per game and better xGs in front of their own fans, and they have failed to score in just 42% of their home matches. It also supports their case of being a winning Anderlecht vs Hoffenheim prediction this week that they have kept clean sheets in 43% of their matches.
Hoffenheim’s lack of attacking intent has been reflected in the number of corners that they have averaged per game in the Bundesliga this season. The German side has won an average of just 4.95, and they have conceded 5.68 per match. Overall, 63% of their matches have seen over 9.5 corners being awarded.
Anderlecht, on the other hand, have averaged 10.26 corners per game in the Belgian league. Therefore, over 9.5 corners looks like a solid chance this week.
Keisuke Goto could be the interesting scorer angle. The 19-year-old made an instant impression after making his first start for his new club on the weekend when scoring inside 25 minutes against Mechelen. The Japanese star has scored one for Anderlecht from an xG of 0.30 this season, and his fast movement in the final third could ultimately be a decisive factor for the Belgian club in the final third on Thursday.
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