AGF Aarhus host Benfica at AutoC Park Randers in the Europa League play-off second leg, needing to overturn a 3-1 deficit after the Portuguese side seized control in Lisbon.

AGF Must Attack After Their Defensive Problems Continued

AGF have lost three out of their last four matches, conceding 11 goals against Sabah, Viborg, Benfica and Odense while their recent five fixtures have produced 18 goals. They’ve scored at least twice to level the tie, forcing them to take more attacking risks than in a first leg where As Águias struck three times before half-time.

Sebastian Jørgensen offers encouragement after scoring in the 3-1 first-leg defeat. Frederik Tingager remains unavailable with a foot injury, weakening a defence that Benfica repeatedly stretched in Lisbon.

AGF Aarhus predicted lineup vs Benfica (3-4-2-1): Hedenstad; Rösler, Camara, Kahl; Andersen, Knudsen, Arnstad, Carstensen; Bech, Jørgensen; Bogere.

Benfica’s Firepower Makes the Two-Goal Cushion Even Stronger

Benfica have scored 19 goals across their last five competitive matches, including seven against Casa Pia and six against Hearts, while remaining unbeaten throughout that sequence.

Marco Silva’s team overwhelmed AGF early in Lisbon. Rafa Silva, Leandro Barreiro and Vangelis Pavlidis established a 3-1 advantage before half-time, while As Águias created continual opportunities after the break.

Andreas Schjelderup and Jhon Durán provide high-level options from the bench, and Fredrik Aursnes returned in the first leg for his 200th Benfica appearance.

Benfica predicted lineup vs AGF Aarhus (4-2-3-1): Soares; Bah, Araújo, Lenglet, Dahl; Rios, Barreiro; Prestianni, Sudakov, Rafa Silva; Pavlidis.

AGF Aarhus vs Benfica Prediction

Safe Tip: Benfica to Win
Odds: 1.51 (22Bet)
Correct score prediction: AGF Aarhus 1-3 Benfica
22Bet Booking Code: M8JPC

Key stats:

  • Benfica scored 19 goals across their last five competitive matches.
  • AGF conceded seven goals in their latest three outings.
  • As Águias won the first leg 3-1 and created enough late chances to extend that advantage.

Benfica have won three of their last five competitive games without defeat, scoring 19 goals, whereas AGF enter the return leg after three straight losses. The first meeting reinforced that quality gap, with As Águias scoring three times before the interval.

The game state makes Benfica more dangerous. AGF need at least two goals to erase the deficit and cannot simply protect their defence, while As Águias demonstrated their counterattacking threat throughout the closing stages in Lisbon. Anticipate the visitors to claim another victory.

AGF Aarhus vs Benfica Prediction, Value Tip

Value Tip: GG - Yes
Odds: 1.60 (22Bet)
22Bet Booking Code: V4KPC

Both teams to score at 1.60 is supported by both teams' recent numbers. They have each scored in four of their last five matches. Benfica averaged 3.8 goals over that period, and De Hvii'e have averaged 1.2. The first leg also produced a 3-1 scoreline, with Jørgensen proving AGF can breach As Águias despite spending long periods under pressure.

The market may be underrating how aggressively AGF must approach the return leg. They trail by two goals and need to expose themselves. De Hvii'e have scored in four of their last five games, making another contest with goals at both ends the stronger value argument.

Verdict: Benfica to Win (1.51) - AGF Aarhus 1-3 Benfica.